Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $300 | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$60 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$38 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$42 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $150 | 62¢ | 92¢ | +$71 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $175 | 49¢ | 55¢ | +$19 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $145 | 66¢ | 87¢ | +$45 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $180 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$6 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $150 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $118 | 59¢ | 80¢ | +$42 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $125 | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$32 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $103 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$47 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 57¢ | 79¢ | +$38 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$81 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $94 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $51 | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$49 |
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 66¢ | 90¢ | +$24 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $88 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 47¢ | 56¢ | +$13 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $64 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $58 | 58¢ | 65¢ | +$7 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $55 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 30¢ | 36¢ | +$10 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $28 | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 27¢ | 16¢ | -$22 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 5.5¢ | 1.3¢ | -$5 |
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $42 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31? Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $139 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$139 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $348 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$348 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $12 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $164 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $79 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $433 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$433 |
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $97 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $73 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $111 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $99 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $453 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$453 |
Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
US strike on Mexico by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $153 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$153 |
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $155 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? Politics | NoResolved | $97 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionPolitics | NoResolved | $52 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |