← Whale Watch

rsabahor

Predicting since Nov 2025754 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.4K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$5085¢86¢+$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$2012¢28¢+$25
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$4352¢51¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4091¢95¢+$2
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$4325¢24¢-$3
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$3365¢80¢+$7
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$3481¢95¢+$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$238.3¢14¢+$15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4013¢12¢-$2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3016¢20¢+$8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2961¢79¢+$9
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3067¢81¢+$6
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$3079¢91¢+$5
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$3055¢63¢+$4
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$3081¢88¢+$2
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$1013¢43¢+$22
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2051¢82¢+$12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$2056¢85¢+$10
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$3049¢50¢+$0
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$2784¢93¢+$3
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$3052¢51¢-$1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$205.8¢8.5¢+$9
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2761¢65¢+$2
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$2951¢50¢-$1
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1011¢31¢+$18
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$3093¢85¢-$2
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$1030¢81¢+$17
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$2069¢93¢+$7
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2020¢27¢+$7
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$2077¢100¢+$6
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$2275¢88¢+$4
Deel IPO before 2027?TechNo$2074¢96¢+$6
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$2064¢83¢+$6
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1020¢52¢+$16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$2075¢94¢+$5
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2965¢56¢-$4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$108.0¢19¢+$14
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$2073¢87¢+$4
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$2057¢68¢+$3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$2079¢91¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2038¢44¢+$3
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$1548¢73¢+$8
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2058¢67¢+$3
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2139¢44¢+$2
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$2081¢92¢+$3
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$2091¢97¢+$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2195¢96¢+$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$1979¢90¢+$3
SHEIN IPO before 2027?TechYes$730¢88¢+$14
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$206.1¢6.3¢+$1
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$2095¢100¢+$1
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1989¢97¢+$2
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2095¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2092¢96¢+$1
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$2063¢66¢+$1
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$2090¢94¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2093¢96¢+$1
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$2095¢98¢+$1
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2097¢100¢+$1
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2090¢93¢+$1
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$2097¢99¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2086¢88¢+$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$2094¢96¢+$0
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?TechNo$2090¢92¢+$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2089¢91¢+$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2088¢90¢+$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2097¢98¢+$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$2096¢97¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2085¢86¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$2086¢87¢+$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2080¢80¢-$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$3092¢62¢-$10
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$1881¢88¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1994¢96¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2095¢93¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2060¢59¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2069¢68¢-$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1994¢95¢+$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$1871¢74¢+$1
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2095¢91¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1974¢73¢-$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$156.5¢8.1¢+$4
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1682¢99¢+$3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$195.0¢5.1¢+$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$1043¢80¢+$9
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2091¢84¢-$1
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$108.3¢16¢+$9
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1038¢69¢+$8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2089¢81¢-$2
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2063¢57¢-$2
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2049¢45¢-$2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2050¢45¢-$2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$1786¢91¢+$1
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1996¢89¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$55.6¢18¢+$12
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$1040¢69¢+$7
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechYes$1687¢93¢+$1
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1694¢97¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1743¢44¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1744¢44¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$5.4K
World Cup-$638
UFC / MMA-$560
Boxing+$227
NBA+$156
Tech-$140
Crypto-$102
NHL+$41
Champions League+$34
La Liga-$22
Tennis-$19
Mentions+$15
Biggest hit
+$1.2K
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Toughest beat
-$2.0K
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$621h ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$101d ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$102d ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$112d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?$132d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$102d ago
  • Bought No · Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$104d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$105d ago
  • Bought No · US x China Military clash before 2027?$105d ago
  • Bought No · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$105d ago