 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.7K | 34¢ | 52¢ | +$851 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $890 | 41¢ | 63¢ | +$477 |
 Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $362 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$42 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $248 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$9 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 in July?Crypto | No | $187 | 60¢ | 79¢ | +$59 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Crypto | No | $186 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$37 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $171 | 53¢ | 66¢ | +$38 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $112 | 41¢ | 69¢ | +$79 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $158 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 22¢ | 74¢ | +$94 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $117 | 62¢ | 57¢ | -$8 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $109 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$15 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $31 | 25¢ | 66¢ | +$53 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $53 | 53¢ | 84¢ | +$31 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $62 | 47¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $77 | 33¢ | 25¢ | -$17 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $31 | 41¢ | 73¢ | +$24 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Finance | No | $54 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?Soccer (other) | No | $46 | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $51 | 68¢ | 58¢ | -$8 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 37¢ | 65¢ | +$17 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in July?Crypto | Yes | $55 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$16 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $46 | 31¢ | 24¢ | -$11 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $45 | 47¢ | 35¢ | -$11 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $31 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 56¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Economy | No | $22 | 53¢ | 71¢ | +$7 |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $29 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $19 | 35¢ | 55¢ | +$10 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 53¢ | 46¢ | -$4 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $58 | 42¢ | 21¢ | -$30 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $17 | 8.9¢ | 14¢ | +$11 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $28 | 55¢ | 52¢ | -$2 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 36¢ | 44¢ | +$4 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $13 | 36¢ | 71¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 59¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 47¢ | 68¢ | +$7 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $64 | 38¢ | 14¢ | -$42 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $22 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $23 | 31¢ | 29¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $13 | 9.9¢ | 16¢ | +$8 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $24 | 73¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 57¢ | 80¢ | +$6 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 35¢ | 40¢ | +$2 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 26¢ | 65¢ | +$11 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $21 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $20 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $11 | 42¢ | 68¢ | +$7 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $12 | 27¢ | 42¢ | +$6 |
 Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $15 | 46¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $43 | 33¢ | 13¢ | -$27 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 44¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $26 | 29¢ | 15¢ | -$12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $12 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $14 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $10 | 42¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 55¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 27¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $6 | 46¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
 Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | No | $10 | 59¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 43¢ | 7.2¢ | -$56 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 43¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
 Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 44¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 8.0¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $8 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Politics | No | $7 | 28¢ | 36¢ | +$2 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 16¢ | 9.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $7 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 27¢ | 35¢ | +$2 |
| Will Solana reach $90 in July?Crypto | Yes | $36 | 9.4¢ | 1.8¢ | -$29 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $8 | 37¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Culture | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 10¢ | -$2 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $11 | 35¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 57¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.0¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | No | $5 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 33¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 5.3¢ | -$9 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Finance | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $7 | 2.4¢ | 1.6¢ | -$3 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $8 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$4 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $4 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $4 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Bought No · Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$22d ago