 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $90 | 72¢ | 93¢ | +$27 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 46¢ | 63¢ | +$7 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $15 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
 Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $10 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 42¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaPolitics | Nothing | $10 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 95¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 46¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 48¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.8¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $5 | 68¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 29¢ | 10¢ | -$7 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 8.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 37¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 34¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 8.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 28¢ | 7.5¢ | -$7 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 34¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 17¢ | 1.6¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 39¢ | 8.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 60¢ | 9.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Nipah virus in US by March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Politics | Leadership ChangeResolved | $5 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Justin Bieber attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?NBA | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Shipbuilding" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the US strike Yemen next?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$1011d ago
Cashed out Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$194d ago
Cashed out Yes · President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$206d ago