← Whale Watch

NoPasaran5

Predicting since Dec 2025550 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.5K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $788 across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$52580¢89¢+$54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$26376¢77¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9094¢99¢+$5
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsNo$8089¢91¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$10776¢52¢-$35
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7960¢51¢-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$5794¢93¢-$1
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?PoliticsNo$7245¢34¢-$19
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsYes$5366¢63¢-$2
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5548¢44¢-$5
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$5249¢44¢-$6
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3863¢61¢-$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$3578¢78¢-$0
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$1928¢48¢+$13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$1634¢64¢+$14
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2718¢20¢+$3
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2427¢32¢+$4
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$6027¢13¢-$33
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$2933¢30¢-$3
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4351¢24¢-$23
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?PoliticsNo$1655¢60¢+$1
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2420¢15¢-$6
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1728¢24¢-$3
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1510¢8.5¢-$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$1036¢46¢+$3
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?PoliticsYes$1152¢55¢+$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$847¢69¢+$4
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?PoliticsNo$1151¢45¢-$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$3526¢6.5¢-$26
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$915¢14¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$716¢13¢-$2
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1324¢9.5¢-$8
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$817¢10¢-$3
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsYes$446¢51¢+$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$381¢92¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$513¢6.5¢-$3
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$311¢9.0¢-$0
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$251¢47¢-$0
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$128¢22¢-$0
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?PoliticsYes$57.0¢1.6¢-$4
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Premier LeagueUnderResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$731¢0.0¢-$7
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will France win on 2026-06-16?World CupNoResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Premier LeagueUnderResolved$1239¢0.0¢-$12
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$657¢0.0¢-$6
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$725¢0.0¢-$7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1311¢0.0¢-$13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$716¢0.0¢-$7
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$931¢0.0¢-$9
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$1277¢0.0¢-$12
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$625¢0.0¢-$6
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$424¢0.0¢-$4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$1954¢0.0¢-$19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$639¢0.0¢-$6
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$610¢0.0¢-$6
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5La LigaUnderResolved$4436¢0.0¢-$44
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2350¢0.0¢-$23
Will England win on 2026-07-18?World CupNoResolved$636¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$959¢0.0¢-$9
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$855¢0.0¢-$8
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$2455¢0.0¢-$24
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 WinnereSportsTeam FalconsResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$614¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$2940¢0.0¢-$29
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Premier LeagueUnderResolved$347¢0.0¢-$3
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5La LigaUnderResolved$2857¢0.0¢-$28
Will Putin visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$824¢0.0¢-$8
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$023¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$428¢0.0¢-$4
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?La LigaNoResolved$2147¢0.0¢-$21
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$318¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1633¢0.0¢-$16
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3854¢0.0¢-$38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?La LigaYesResolved$621¢0.0¢-$6
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$715¢0.0¢-$7
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$1860¢0.0¢-$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Premier LeagueNoResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$2555¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?PoliticsYesResolved$130.9¢0.0¢-$13
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-05-11?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2935¢0.0¢-$29
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$335¢0.0¢-$3
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5884¢0.0¢-$58
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$929¢0.0¢-$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$826¢0.0¢-$8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?PoliticsYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?Premier LeagueNoResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$53.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$620¢0.0¢-$6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships PlayoffseSportsTeam FalconsResolved$3972¢0.0¢-$39

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.5K
eSports-$314
Crypto-$194
Finance+$180
Champions League+$130
La Liga-$127
Soccer (other)+$106
Premier League+$61
Economy+$45
World Cup+$10
Bundesliga+$8
Tech-$5
Biggest hit
+$140
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Toughest beat
-$705
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?$859m ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?$959m ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$02h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$42h ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$73h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$23h ago
  • Sold Yes · Trump meets with Putin by September 30?$53h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?$23h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?$13h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?$03h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$574h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$25h ago