← Whale Watch

taerv534

Predicting since Nov 20241,871 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10K on Tech markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $555 riding on Largest Company end of December 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$3.9K on Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$5552.2¢1.5¢-$184
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$22070¢88¢+$56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$11641¢81¢+$111
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$15480¢96¢+$30
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsNo$12280¢96¢+$25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$7350¢92¢+$60
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$30.5¢19¢+$126
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$10076¢95¢+$24
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$10273¢86¢+$18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?TechNo$2718¢76¢+$86
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6559¢97¢+$43
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$9788¢96¢+$9
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8184¢95¢+$10
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$571.0¢1.5¢+$24
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$5549¢70¢+$23
China coup attempt before 2027?PoliticsNo$5985¢97¢+$8
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$5153¢68¢+$14
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$690.5¢0.4¢-$4
Iran nuclear test before 2027?PoliticsNo$4566¢93¢+$18
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?TechOpenAI$6723¢22¢-$3
Is Earth flat?CultureNo$6297¢98¢+$1
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$4164¢95¢+$20
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$570.5¢0.4¢-$7
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$571.9¢1.7¢-$9
Ebola pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$4083¢96¢+$6
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$3982¢96¢+$7
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$4077¢88¢+$5
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? PoliticsNo$2672¢90¢+$7
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2272¢93¢+$6
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2348¢56¢+$4
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?FinanceYes$797.8¢2.6¢-$53
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoCryptoNothing$2180¢95¢+$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$813¢42¢+$17
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$1863¢84¢+$6
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?CryptoYes$2372¢73¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$8626¢6.5¢-$65
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$401.8¢0.9¢-$19
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$596.1¢2.1¢-$39
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?CryptoYes$1930¢28¢-$1
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?CryptoYes$952¢98¢+$8
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$190.2¢0.1¢-$3
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$2512¢7.5¢-$10
Nick Fuentes federally charged?PoliticsNo$1490¢96¢+$1
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$1481¢90¢+$1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1593¢95¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$539¢88¢+$7
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$754¢95¢+$5
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$816¢18¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$895¢99¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$564¢98¢+$3
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$564¢97¢+$3
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$790¢97¢+$1
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$895¢97¢+$0
Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsNo$680¢93¢+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechYes$24.8¢18¢+$5
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?CryptoYes$920¢16¢-$2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$143.5¢1.7¢-$7
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?CryptoYes$924¢17¢-$3
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$295.1¢1.1¢-$22
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$575¢97¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$332¢69¢+$3
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$120.1¢0.1¢-$7
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$41.3¢1.5¢+$1
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$100.1¢0.1¢-$5
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$599¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$590¢98¢+$0
Will Alberta join the US? PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$489¢96¢+$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$484¢93¢+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsYes$42.7¢2.8¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$485¢91¢+$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?CryptoYes$411¢8.5¢-$1
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?CryptoYes$520¢12¢-$2
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$29.6¢12¢+$0
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$20.1¢0.1¢+$1
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?PoliticsYes$311¢9.0¢-$0
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$44.8¢2.5¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?FinanceYes$121.6¢0.3¢-$10
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$116¢20¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$18.0¢9.5¢+$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$14.0¢4.5¢+$0
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?PoliticsNo$192¢99¢+$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$110.4¢0.1¢-$9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsNo$202.9¢0.1¢-$19
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$132¢62¢+$0
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$50.4¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech+$10K
Weather+$2.8K
Finance+$2.7K
Politics+$1.5K
Economy+$637
Crypto-$285
Mentions-$242
Other-$158
Other sports+$87
Culture+$79
NFL-$24
eSports+$16
Biggest hit
+$3.9K
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Toughest beat
-$2.8K
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$56h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$3010h ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$31d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$231d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$331d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$101d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$52d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$32d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$12d ago