Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $155 | 0.7¢ | 3.5¢ | +$674 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $220 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$75 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $116 | 41¢ | 84¢ | +$120 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $631 | 1.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$419 |
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $289 | 39¢ | 28¢ | -$83 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $154 | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$32 |
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Politics | No | $122 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$22 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $73 | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$63 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | Yes | $172 | 49¢ | 38¢ | -$40 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $102 | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$26 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $100 | 76¢ | 97¢ | +$27 |
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 59¢ | 98¢ | +$44 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $97 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $55 | 49¢ | 87¢ | +$42 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$13 |
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $98 | 68¢ | 59¢ | -$12 |
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $91 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$5 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $51 | 53¢ | 87¢ | +$32 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 1.0¢ | 1.4¢ | +$21 |
China coup attempt before 2027?Politics | No | $59 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 66¢ | 95¢ | +$20 |
Is Earth flat?Culture | No | $62 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $41 | 64¢ | 95¢ | +$20 |
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $105 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$44 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 13¢ | 84¢ | +$42 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $40 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $39 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $63 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$23 |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 1.6¢ | 1.9¢ | +$6 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | No | $26 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 57¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $18 | 53¢ | 94¢ | +$14 |
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $19 | 30¢ | 46¢ | +$10 |
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | OpenAI | $67 | 23¢ | 9.5¢ | -$39 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoCrypto | Nothing | $21 | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 63¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $46 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$21 |
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $65 | 8.6¢ | 3.2¢ | -$41 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $18 | 77¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $16 | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 24¢ | 53¢ | +$12 |
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $9 | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Nick Fuentes federally charged?Politics | No | $14 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | Yes | $17 | 3.5¢ | 2.8¢ | -$3 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 39¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $15 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $9 | 64¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 32¢ | 72¢ | +$6 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 54¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.6¢ | 1.8¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics | No | $8 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $7 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by March 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $6 | 48¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ | 2.5¢ | +$5 |
Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $12 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 4.8¢ | 6.5¢ | +$1 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $3 | 32¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Alberta join the US? Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | -$5 |
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $3 | 48¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | Yes | $4 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.8¢ | 3.3¢ | -$1 |
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.6¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 1.5¢ | 0.6¢ | -$3 |
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 8.0¢ | -$1 |
Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.3¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 4.6¢ | +$0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 4.8¢ | 3.5¢ | -$1 |
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$2 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $117 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |