 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$33 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $399 | 78¢ | 57¢ | -$108 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $180 | 60¢ | 93¢ | +$97 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $228 | 64¢ | 74¢ | +$38 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $261 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $240 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$22 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $237 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$15 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $220 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$6 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $210 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $252 | 42¢ | 33¢ | -$58 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $179 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $181 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $140 | 60¢ | 72¢ | +$27 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $130 | 54¢ | 66¢ | +$27 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $155 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $109 | 69¢ | 95¢ | +$41 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $124 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $130 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $123 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $119 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $118 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $113 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $58 | 24¢ | 44¢ | +$46 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $98 | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$5 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $100 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $96 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | Yes | $100 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$2 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $71 | 52¢ | 71¢ | +$25 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $112 | 81¢ | 66¢ | -$22 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $90 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | No | $90 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 43¢ | +$57 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $72 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $117 | 85¢ | 56¢ | -$39 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $86 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $68 | 4.1¢ | 4.2¢ | +$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $105 | 88¢ | 57¢ | -$36 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $61 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 59¢ | 73¢ | +$12 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Finance | No | $56 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $51 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $49 | 37¢ | 40¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Tech | No | $50 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $49 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics | No | $50 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $47 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $46 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$24 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $27 | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$20 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $50 | 87¢ | 80¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $40 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 36¢ | 29¢ | -$10 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $48 | 62¢ | 55¢ | -$6 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 35¢ | 38¢ | +$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $40 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $150 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | -$110 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $40 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $39 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $53 | 10¢ | 7.4¢ | -$15 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $60 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$24 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $33 | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 2.0¢ | 2.8¢ | +$9 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $28 | 64¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
| Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $30 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 61¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $30 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $29 | 68¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $20 | 37¢ | 59¢ | +$11 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $35 | 91¢ | 80¢ | -$4 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $30 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | No | $34 | 35¢ | 31¢ | -$5 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $37 | 34¢ | 26¢ | -$9 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $119 | 30¢ | 7.0¢ | -$91 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | Yes | $36 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$8 |
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $20 | 71¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 50¢ | 44¢ | -$4 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 86¢ | 75¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $25 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 41¢ | 36¢ | -$4 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 3.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$36 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $21 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Tech | No | $20 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Bought No · Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$102h ago
Sold Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$222h ago
Bought Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$47h ago