 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $253 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$60 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $302 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $240 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$17 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $213 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $206 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $155 | 60¢ | 76¢ | +$39 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $166 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $113 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $102 | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$12 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $91 | 61¢ | 72¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $93 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $92 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $75 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $70 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $71 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 12¢ | 95¢ | +$60 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $67 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $67 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $43 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $33 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 26¢ | 59¢ | +$24 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 33¢ | 20¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 51¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $25 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $25 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $24 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $21 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Anthropic | $22 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $21 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $22 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 46¢ | 33¢ | -$9 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 87¢ | 33¢ | -$34 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $19 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 17¢ | 6.0¢ | -$34 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $18 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | No | $15 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $12 | 52¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $19 | 8.4¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 18¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $11 | 68¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | Yes | $21 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$10 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 37¢ | 18¢ | -$12 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $10 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$3 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 53¢ | 25¢ | -$12 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $8 | 60¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 54¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 29¢ | 7.5¢ | -$24 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 56¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $6 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 70¢ | 46¢ | -$3 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $6 | 50¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $5 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Tech | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 55¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 46¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 51¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 29¢ | 13¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 32¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 49¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $4 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 54¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 60¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $3 | 48¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 28¢ | 8.3¢ | -$5 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 55¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $1 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Tech | Yes | $1 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 36¢ | 3.4¢ | -$11 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Cashed out No · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$227h ago