← Whale Watch

simplystupid188

Predicting since Nov 20251,408 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $12K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Biggest hit: +$2.1K on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$492.6¢5.7¢+$56
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$300.9¢3.1¢+$68
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$128.0¢31¢+$36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$1917¢42¢+$29
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$2612¢22¢+$22
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$392.0¢2.4¢+$7
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$3620¢25¢+$9
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$4524¢24¢-$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$402.1¢2.4¢+$4
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$2829¢43¢+$14
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$501.1¢0.9¢-$8
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$311.2¢1.6¢+$9
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$360.9¢0.9¢+$4
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsYes$5616¢11¢-$17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1951¢99¢+$18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$3771¢71¢-$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$344.4¢4.7¢+$2
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$2143¢74¢+$15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3117¢20¢+$5
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$3513¢13¢-$2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$2911¢13¢+$4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.9¢0.7¢-$13
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$302.8¢2.9¢+$1
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1917¢28¢+$12
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureYes$281.8¢1.9¢+$2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$3610¢8.5¢-$6
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3220¢18¢-$3
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$301.2¢1.1¢-$1
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$371.2¢0.9¢-$7
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$1828¢45¢+$11
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$2850¢51¢+$0
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$280.9¢0.9¢+$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3021¢20¢-$2
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$194.0¢6.0¢+$10
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$263.6¢4.0¢+$2
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$249.2¢11¢+$4
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$2151¢68¢+$7
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsYes$479.2¢5.5¢-$19
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$321.0¢0.9¢-$5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2641¢43¢+$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4019¢13¢-$14
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$2151¢63¢+$5
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$281.1¢0.9¢-$3
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$1916¢21¢+$6
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$551.5¢0.7¢-$30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$2525¢25¢-$1
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$391.2¢0.8¢-$15
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$197.4¢9.4¢+$5
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$410.9¢0.5¢-$17
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$471.9¢0.9¢-$23
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$308.1¢6.4¢-$6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$2329¢29¢-$0
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$308.7¢6.5¢-$8
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$149.9¢16¢+$8
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$237.9¢7.5¢-$1
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$231.1¢1.1¢-$2
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsYes$318.7¢6.0¢-$10
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$1937¢41¢+$2
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$309.0¢6.5¢-$8
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$2148¢50¢+$1
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$2339¢37¢-$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$325.5¢3.6¢-$11
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2041¢43¢+$1
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2347¢44¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2144¢44¢-$0
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$1441¢60¢+$7
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$232.9¢2.6¢-$2
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$221.3¢1.3¢-$1
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$211.1¢1.1¢-$0
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$280.9¢0.7¢-$8
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$161.7¢2.1¢+$4
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$220.9¢0.9¢-$2
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$1811¢12¢+$2
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2043¢44¢+$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$191.5¢1.6¢+$1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$2716¢12¢-$7
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$328.9¢5.5¢-$12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$443.3¢1.5¢-$24
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$153.8¢4.9¢+$4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$351.4¢0.8¢-$16
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$1811¢12¢+$2
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$551.0¢0.4¢-$36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechYes$2048¢47¢-$1
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceYes$3813¢6.5¢-$19
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.6¢+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechYes$2040¢38¢-$1
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$1849¢50¢+$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$136.0¢8.6¢+$5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$1848¢50¢+$1
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsYes$1822¢22¢-$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$1750¢54¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1450¢63¢+$4
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?TechYes$524¢85¢+$13
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$121.5¢2.1¢+$5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$147.0¢8.8¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$2216¢13¢-$5
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechYes$2517¢12¢-$7
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$201.1¢0.9¢-$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1943¢38¢-$2
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureYes$175.7¢5.5¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$12K
Crypto+$590
NBA+$566
World Cup-$447
Finance-$418
Champions League+$247
Tech-$239
Premier League+$228
Basketball (other)-$215
NFL-$186
Tennis-$167
Culture+$152
Biggest hit
+$2.1K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Toughest beat
-$592
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1186d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$266d ago