Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $147 | 17¢ | 48¢ | +$266 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $210 | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$70 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $120 | 52¢ | 89¢ | +$84 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $61 | 61¢ | 94¢ | +$33 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $80 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 7.0¢ | 35¢ | +$56 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 22¢ | 45¢ | +$30 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $37 | 18¢ | 22¢ | +$8 |
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $44 | 6.7¢ | 6.1¢ | -$4 |
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $66 | 14¢ | 8.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 36¢ | +$8 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 59¢ | 79¢ | +$5 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 9.6¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 61¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 17¢ | 8.0¢ | -$19 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $21 | 26¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 40¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboOther sports | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$10 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 29¢ | 11¢ | -$9 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 36¢ | 14¢ | -$7 |
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 3.8¢ | 3.9¢ | +$0 |
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | 5.2¢ | +$0 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 6.0¢ | -$5 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 9.5¢ | -$8 |
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 4.7¢ | -$2 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |