 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $147 | 17¢ | 40¢ | +$200 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $210 | 70¢ | 85¢ | +$44 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $120 | 52¢ | 69¢ | +$38 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $80 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $61 | 61¢ | 83¢ | +$22 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 54¢ | +$36 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 7.0¢ | 26¢ | +$38 |
 Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $66 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$18 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$8 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$8 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $37 | 18¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 28¢ | 93¢ | +$19 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$10 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 9.6¢ | 12¢ | +$6 |
| Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 7.7¢ | 6.3¢ | -$5 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $21 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.3¢ | 18¢ | +$10 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 59¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sports | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 29¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 36¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 3.8¢ | 5.1¢ | +$1 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 10¢ | -$3 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Sold Yes · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$252d ago