← Whale Watch

JoE

Predicting since Apr 20249,828 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $8.2K on Politics markets since Apr 2024.

Right now: $638 across 4 NBA markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.0K on Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$15498¢93¢-$9
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$5727¢44¢+$34
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$5853¢80¢+$29
Will Ashlyn Krueger win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$8599¢100¢+$1
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$8897¢95¢-$2
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$7786¢92¢+$5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$6895¢98¢+$2
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$6895¢94¢-$1
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$6598¢99¢+$1
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$6599¢100¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$7273¢56¢-$16
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsNo$3251¢89¢+$24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$277.0¢14¢+$26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?TechNo$4891¢100¢+$4
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechNo$4898¢99¢+$0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$5094¢91¢-$1
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$4993¢90¢-$2
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$23.2¢63¢+$43
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$1725¢68¢+$28
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$2444¢80¢+$19
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$4998¢87¢-$5
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$4693¢88¢-$3
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2020¢41¢+$20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3792¢96¢+$2
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$3591¢97¢+$2
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$3798¢100¢+$1
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?PoliticsNo$2466¢100¢+$12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2964¢79¢+$7
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2979¢95¢+$6
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10.5¢16¢+$33
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$45.0¢43¢+$28
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$2888¢100¢+$4
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$3195¢96¢+$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10.7¢43¢+$31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2059¢88¢+$10
Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$2899¢100¢+$0
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$2695¢100¢+$1
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLNo$2695¢98¢+$1
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$22.7¢35¢+$24
Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$2598¢100¢+$1
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$2699¢100¢+$0
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$22.7¢32¢+$22
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFLNo$2499¢98¢-$0
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$2176¢83¢+$2
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?PoliticsNo$2193¢100¢+$1
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2398¢100¢+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1975¢92¢+$4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5650¢20¢-$33
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2195¢98¢+$1
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2277¢75¢-$1
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$2199¢99¢+$0
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$1946¢50¢+$1
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$1894¢98¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1779¢86¢+$1
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$924¢47¢+$9
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$838¢82¢+$9
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$1798¢100¢+$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1689¢94¢+$1
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$1687¢91¢+$1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10.5¢8.3¢+$15
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$1169¢100¢+$5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?PoliticsNo$1596¢99¢+$1
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1691¢88¢-$1
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$1582¢86¢+$1
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$22.7¢23¢+$14
Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$1597¢98¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1710.0¢8.5¢-$2
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1399¢100¢+$0
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1292¢100¢+$1
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1398¢100¢+$0
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1292¢98¢+$1
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1890¢64¢-$5
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBNo$1290¢97¢+$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$1290¢95¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$5941¢8.5¢-$47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?TechNo$1295¢99¢+$1
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1299¢100¢+$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$649¢100¢+$6
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?WeatherNo$1297¢100¢+$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?PoliticsNo$1192¢99¢+$1
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$73.1¢5.5¢+$5
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?PoliticsNo$1192¢92¢-$0
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1197¢100¢+$0
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1196¢99¢+$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10.5¢5.1¢+$10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$950¢60¢+$2
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherNo$946¢56¢+$2
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$00.8¢31¢+$10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10.5¢5.1¢+$9
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$1051¢51¢+$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1096¢95¢-$0
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?TechNo$887¢98¢+$1
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$998¢100¢+$0
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$890¢100¢+$1
Will the Central African Democratic Rally win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsNo$999¢100¢+$0
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$997¢100¢+$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$999¢100¢+$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?PoliticsNo$780¢100¢+$2
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$998¢100¢+$0
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$998¢99¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$8.2K
Culture+$5.3K
NBA-$686
Soccer (other)-$592
eSports-$445
Premier League-$403
Tech-$353
Other-$335
Economy-$303
Formula 1-$274
Crypto+$211
NFL-$197
Biggest hit
+$4.0K
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$25d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$285d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1866d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$813d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$314d ago