 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $85 | 66¢ | 70¢ | +$5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 69¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $17 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 67¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $11 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $10 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $9 | 65¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech | No | $3 | 42¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $5 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 8.0¢ | 5.3¢ | -$2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $3 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Politics | No | $3 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | No | $3 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $3 | 65¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 56¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 59¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 45¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Politics | No | $5 | 26¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 53¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 58¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Culture | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 38¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 45¢ | 60¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics | No | $1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $1 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 70¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 63¢ | 16¢ | -$4 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $1 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $1 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $1 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $1 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $1 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 71¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $23 | 34¢ | 1.5¢ | -$22 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $1 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Cashed out No · Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?$58h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$21d ago
Cashed out Yes · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$11d ago
Bought No · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?$15d ago
Bought No · Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$15d ago
Bought No · Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$15d ago