DeLeeuw

Predicting since Dec 2024304 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $21K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $1.9K riding on "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office.

Biggest hit: +$24K on Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$250	47¢	70¢	+$123
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$271	96¢	97¢	+$4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$250	83¢	86¢	+$8
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$250	98¢	100¢	+$4
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$250	99¢	100¢	+$2
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	No	$241	84¢	86¢	+$4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy	No	$150	91¢	98¢	+$12
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$150	93¢	98¢	+$9
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics	Yes	$150	90¢	95¢	+$8
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$150	93¢	95¢	+$3
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$150	86¢	88¢	+$3
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics	No	$150	89¢	90¢	+$1
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics	No	$150	91¢	92¢	+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$63	55¢	84¢	+$33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$82	79¢	84¢	+$5
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Politics	Yes	$79	89¢	98¢	+$8
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$62	78¢	98¢	+$16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$62	70¢	79¢	+$8
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics	No	$62	91¢	87¢	-$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$48	86¢	89¢	+$1
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics	Yes	$44	87¢	96¢	+$4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$46	90¢	94¢	+$2
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$35	88¢	93¢	+$2
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$25	81¢	91¢	+$3
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics	Yes	$23	79¢	85¢	+$2
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$14	94¢	95¢	+$0
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture	No	$12	75¢	80¢	+$1
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Culture	YesResolved	$12	60¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Culture	NoResolved	$1.9K	62¢	0.0¢	-$1.9K
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$25	63¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBA	YesResolved	$27	26¢	0.0¢	-$27

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$21K

Culture-$2.0K

MLB-$448

Economy-$385

World Cup+$97

Soccer (other)-$41

eSports+$37

Tennis+$22

Tech+$18

NBA-$18

Finance+$16

Cricket+$15

Biggest hit

+$24K

Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?

Toughest beat

-$410

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Recent moves

Sold No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$61h ago
Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$2518h ago
Bought Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2519h ago
Sold Yes · Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$2420h ago
Bought Yes · Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$2520h ago
Sold Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$251d ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$61d ago
Bought No · Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$1512d ago
Cashed out No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?$2522d ago
Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$242d ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?$282d ago
Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$242d ago