 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $293 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $290 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $262 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$14 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $250 | 81¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $213 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$15 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $168 | 54¢ | 64¢ | +$30 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $214 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$19 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $267 | 57¢ | 40¢ | -$82 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $152 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Politics | Yes | $147 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $145 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $144 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $137 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Politics | Yes | $132 | 53¢ | 56¢ | +$5 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $26 | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$99 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $120 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $114 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $118 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $95 | 61¢ | 74¢ | +$20 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $96 | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $103 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
 Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Bundesliga | Yes | $107 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$2 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $105 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $79 | 51¢ | 63¢ | +$18 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | No | $97 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $63 | 51¢ | 72¢ | +$25 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $83 | 53¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $72 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$5 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $66 | 56¢ | 66¢ | +$11 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $74 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | No | $71 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $73 | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $45 | 38¢ | 60¢ | +$26 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $69 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
 Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Premier League | Yes | $70 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$1 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $40 | 51¢ | 91¢ | +$31 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $68 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
 Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 76¢ | 90¢ | +$11 |
 Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | No | $61 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $64 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics | No | $54 | 41¢ | 47¢ | +$8 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $17 | 16¢ | 58¢ | +$44 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $81 | 26¢ | 20¢ | -$20 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $56 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?La Liga | No | $57 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $45 | 31¢ | 38¢ | +$9 |
 Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $45 | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $52 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $48 | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $92 | 79¢ | 40¢ | -$46 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $28 | 26¢ | 44¢ | +$19 |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Politics | No | $33 | 53¢ | 75¢ | +$13 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $32 | 42¢ | 61¢ | +$14 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $49 | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $45 | 73¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $64 | 71¢ | 47¢ | -$21 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 58¢ | 54¢ | -$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $41 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?La Liga | Yes | $71 | 76¢ | 41¢ | -$33 |
 Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Politics | No | $27 | 48¢ | 65¢ | +$9 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Politics | No | $36 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $27 | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $25 | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 63¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $28 | 45¢ | 41¢ | -$3 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $20 | 33¢ | 41¢ | +$5 |
 Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Tennis | Yes | $47 | 50¢ | 26¢ | -$23 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $33 | 21¢ | 15¢ | -$9 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 36¢ | 87¢ | +$14 |
| Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Tennis | Yes | $42 | 45¢ | 24¢ | -$20 |
 Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Politics | Yes | $18 | 58¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 28¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 58¢ | 49¢ | -$4 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $17 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $17 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | Yes | $22 | 40¢ | 30¢ | -$6 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $16 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 10¢ | 24¢ | +$8 |
 Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $20 | 50¢ | 35¢ | -$6 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics | No | $8 | 23¢ | 41¢ | +$6 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 34¢ | 16¢ | -$14 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | Yes | $9 | 59¢ | 78¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 26¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $16 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $18 | 58¢ | 34¢ | -$7 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $6 | 41¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 31¢ | 14¢ | -$10 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $6 | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 25¢ | 11¢ | -$11 |
Cashed out No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.125T by September 30?$23h ago
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