 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $208 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$26 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $138 | 49¢ | 42¢ | -$22 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $65 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $67 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $53 | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $55 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $30 | 66¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $27 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $21 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?Culture | No | $25 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 53¢ | 45¢ | -$5 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $30 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$3 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $25 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 61¢ | 53¢ | -$3 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?Culture | Yes | $2 | 7.1¢ | 84¢ | +$20 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $21 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $20 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 52¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?Culture | No | $10 | 58¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 68¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $16 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 58¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $15 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 40¢ | 59¢ | +$5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 63¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $8 | 47¢ | 89¢ | +$7 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $18 | 71¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $18 | 61¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
 Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $15 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $11 | 56¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $28 | 84¢ | 44¢ | -$13 |
 Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $12 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13 | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 69¢ | +$5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $12 | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
 Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 58¢ | +$1 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $12 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $11 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $17 | 64¢ | 38¢ | -$7 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%-10.5%?Finance | No | $10 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $11 | 76¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
| Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 60m by August 31?Culture | No | $9 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $7 | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 48¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $8 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
| Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?Culture | No | $5 | 45¢ | 64¢ | +$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $22 | 44¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $7 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 23¢ | 38¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6 | 69¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $7 | 74¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 43¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $12 | 62¢ | 31¢ | -$6 |
 Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $8 | 32¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 56¢ | +$4 |
 Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $5 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $11 | 38¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 51¢ | -$4 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $7 | 58¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?World Cup | No | $4 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?Culture | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $6 | 64¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | Yes | $7 | 55¢ | 39¢ | -$2 |
 Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $4 | 44¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?Culture | Yes | $5 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 54¢ | 26¢ | -$5 |
 Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?Finance | No | $9 | 90¢ | 47¢ | -$4 |
 Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 36¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $4 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $4 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $3 | 60¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 27?$11h ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 26?$07h ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$08h ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?$28h ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 26?$18h ago