← Whale Watch

Zelenearn0

Predicting since Jan 2026909 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.8K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $648 riding on Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$64842¢40¢-$34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$51485¢92¢+$39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$49376¢81¢+$29
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$47462¢56¢-$43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$24232¢51¢+$141
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$37298¢100¢+$7
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$35986¢88¢+$8
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$33652¢56¢+$24
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$20887¢98¢+$27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$8217¢47¢+$143
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21087¢92¢+$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21190¢93¢+$7
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsNo$14456¢69¢+$32
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23444¢33¢-$58
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$17359¢56¢-$8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$10423¢28¢+$27
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$12413¢13¢-$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10845¢46¢+$1
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9486¢98¢+$14
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$8970¢81¢+$14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$7212¢17¢+$27
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$4637¢57¢+$26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3614¢24¢+$24
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$688.1¢6.6¢-$13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$827.6¢4.9¢-$29
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$5113¢14¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5514¢13¢-$6
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4799¢99¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4720¢20¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$4816¢16¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$4713¢13¢+$0
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? PoliticsYes$4314¢14¢-$2
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?PoliticsYes$4816¢11¢-$17
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$4713¢6.0¢-$25
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$1790¢91¢+$0
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$1597¢96¢-$0
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1013¢16¢+$2
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1299¢99¢-$0
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1195¢96¢+$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$1182¢82¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$172.8¢1.8¢-$6
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$23727¢1.1¢-$227
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$952¢53¢+$0
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$4820¢3.0¢-$41
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$1432¢16¢-$7
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1019¢12¢-$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$337.0¢0.7¢-$30
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2910¢0.0¢-$29
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2541¢0.0¢-$25
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$625¢0.0¢-$6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$49.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?FinanceNoResolved$20391¢0.0¢-$203
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$73.9¢0.0¢-$7
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$14871¢0.0¢-$148
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$18811¢0.0¢-$188
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?FinanceNoResolved$798.4¢0.0¢-$79
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8416¢0.0¢-$84
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$564.3¢0.0¢-$56
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3229¢0.0¢-$32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$89.0¢0.0¢-$8
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$3612¢0.0¢-$36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20219¢0.0¢-$202
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$19222¢0.0¢-$192
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$134.5¢0.0¢-$13
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3311¢0.0¢-$33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$456.6¢0.0¢-$45
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$143.1¢0.0¢-$14
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$5410¢0.0¢-$54
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$2715¢0.0¢-$27
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$1215¢0.0¢-$12
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$545.9¢0.0¢-$54
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$5813¢0.0¢-$58
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1620¢0.0¢-$16
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$9017¢0.0¢-$90
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? PoliticsYesResolved$3113¢0.0¢-$31
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2642.7¢0.0¢-$264
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?PoliticsYesResolved$14626¢0.0¢-$146
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?FinanceNoResolved$2643¢0.0¢-$26
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$239.2¢0.0¢-$23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$172.9¢0.0¢-$17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$61.0¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$543.2¢0.0¢-$54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$413.4¢0.0¢-$41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2311¢0.0¢-$23
Trump out as President by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$460.3¢0.0¢-$46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$8127¢0.0¢-$81
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6021¢0.0¢-$60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9114¢0.0¢-$91
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?PoliticsYesResolved$9715¢0.0¢-$97
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$734.4¢0.0¢-$73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13514¢0.0¢-$135
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$486.2¢0.0¢-$48
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1465.7¢0.0¢-$146
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$252.4¢0.0¢-$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?FinanceNoResolved$13420¢0.0¢-$134
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$420¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$3.8K
Finance-$423
World Cup-$333
Soccer (other)-$41
Olympics-$26
Crypto-$19
Champions League-$15
Mentions-$8
Tech-$6
Culture+$5
Other sports+$2
Biggest hit
+$441
Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$556
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$324m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?$9928m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?$5128m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?$5129m ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$13040m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2558m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$11h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$211h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$51h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$61h ago