← Whale Watch

mad4x

Predicting since Apr 2026598 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.9K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $10K across 9 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.4K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$8.0K80¢80¢-$20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$3.0K84¢87¢+$90
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2.0K20¢20¢-$21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$84494¢97¢+$20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$39877¢80¢+$14
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$32564¢75¢+$54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$30191¢92¢+$2
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$26840¢38¢-$18
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$22792¢96¢+$11
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$16798¢98¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$15488¢95¢+$11
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13897¢97¢+$1
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$13191¢93¢+$3
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13091¢92¢+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8345¢63¢+$33
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9994¢95¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8193¢98¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$11229¢21¢-$33
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$6427¢30¢+$6
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6283¢91¢+$6
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$5691¢95¢+$2
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$7748¢32¢-$25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6316¢13¢-$13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5545¢36¢-$12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$4293¢96¢+$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3580¢95¢+$6
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3892¢97¢+$2
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$3994¢95¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$1950¢100¢+$19
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3866¢56¢-$5
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$3297¢98¢+$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$3095¢97¢+$1
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$141.0¢2.1¢+$16
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2892¢97¢+$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$2661¢63¢+$1
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1332¢63¢+$12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1762¢84¢+$6
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1984¢98¢+$3
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$2196¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$211.1¢1.1¢-$2
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$1519¢25¢+$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$272.0¢1.5¢-$8
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$1789¢100¢+$2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$125.8¢8.5¢+$5
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$1792¢93¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$1682¢88¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$1367¢90¢+$4
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$1778¢75¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1695¢95¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2225¢18¢-$6
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2123¢17¢-$6
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$1598¢98¢+$0
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$1495¢97¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$1157¢72¢+$3
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$1938¢28¢-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoYes$244.1¢2.4¢-$10
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$143.0¢2.6¢-$2
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1291¢93¢+$0
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?CultureNo$1298¢99¢+$0
Will Elon register any party before 2027?PoliticsNo$1191¢97¢+$1
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$1197¢100¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$1773¢43¢-$7
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?PoliticsNo$995¢97¢+$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1097¢96¢-$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$864¢68¢+$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$105.3¢4.9¢-$1
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$788¢100¢+$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$877¢80¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?PoliticsNo$775¢82¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$219¢57¢+$5
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$713¢12¢-$1
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$67.0¢7.5¢+$0
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$693¢97¢+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$624¢23¢-$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?PoliticsNo$586¢90¢+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$814¢9.5¢-$2
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?PoliticsYes$549¢46¢-$0
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$598¢95¢-$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$734¢24¢-$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$620¢14¢-$2
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$819¢10¢-$4
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$734¢18¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?PoliticsYes$35.0¢4.6¢-$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$614¢7.5¢-$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$387¢92¢+$0
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsYes$36.0¢4.5¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsYes$449¢32¢-$1
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$23.0¢3.0¢+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$718¢5.5¢-$5
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsYes$356¢37¢-$1
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoYes$414¢7.6¢-$2
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$21.7¢1.6¢-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$312¢6.5¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$332¢19¢-$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$21.0¢0.7¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$115.0¢0.7¢-$10
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$317¢6.5¢-$2
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$325¢11¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.9K
Crypto+$2.6K
World Cup+$312
Mentions+$91
Soccer (other)+$62
Culture-$53
Tech-$31
NBA+$22
MLB-$21
Champions League-$19
Weather-$14
Tennis+$12
Biggest hit
+$2.4K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$675
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$627m ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3989h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$8710h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$014h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$014h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$014h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$015h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$015h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$015h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$215h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$016h ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$2616h ago