Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $8.0K | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$20 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$90 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$21 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $844 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$20 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $398 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$14 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $325 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$54 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $301 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $268 | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$18 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $227 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $167 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $154 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $138 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $131 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $83 | 45¢ | 63¢ | +$33 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $99 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $81 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $112 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$33 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $64 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$6 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $62 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$6 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $56 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $77 | 48¢ | 32¢ | -$25 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $63 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$13 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 45¢ | 36¢ | -$12 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $42 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | No | $39 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA | No | $19 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$5 |
Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$16 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $26 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 32¢ | 63¢ | +$12 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 62¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $19 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Politics | No | $21 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 19¢ | 25¢ | +$5 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Crypto | Yes | $27 | 2.0¢ | 1.5¢ | -$8 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $17 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 5.8¢ | 8.5¢ | +$5 |
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 67¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $22 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $21 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$6 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Politics | No | $15 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics | No | $14 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 57¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 38¢ | 28¢ | -$5 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Crypto | Yes | $24 | 4.1¢ | 2.4¢ | -$10 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 3.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$2 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?Culture | No | $12 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon register any party before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $17 | 73¢ | 43¢ | -$7 |
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 5.3¢ | 4.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $7 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 19¢ | 57¢ | +$5 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$0 |
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $6 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 49¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Politics | Yes | $5 | 98¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $8 | 19¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | 4.6¢ | -$0 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 49¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 3.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 18¢ | 5.5¢ | -$5 |
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 56¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 7.6¢ | -$2 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.7¢ | 1.6¢ | -$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 32¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 5.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$10 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |