 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6.4K | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$328 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$25 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2.5K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$48 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$295 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$16 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $854 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $710 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $682 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$17 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $564 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$54 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 46¢ | 21¢ | -$613 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $463 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$5 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $325 | 64¢ | 83¢ | +$99 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $415 | 90¢ | 80¢ | -$49 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $324 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$5 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $286 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $221 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $208 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $194 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $242 | 40¢ | 32¢ | -$49 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $176 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$16 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $179 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $167 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $165 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $159 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $156 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $150 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $138 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $131 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $120 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $118 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $101 | 45¢ | 49¢ | +$7 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | No | $93 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $94 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $92 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $91 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $87 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $64 | 2.6¢ | 3.5¢ | +$21 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $86 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $85 | 67¢ | 63¢ | -$6 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $81 | 90¢ | 84¢ | -$6 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$13 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Politics | Yes | $71 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $64 | 67¢ | 73¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | No | $69 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $143 | 55¢ | 24¢ | -$81 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $115 | 29¢ | 16¢ | -$53 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $59 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $57 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | No | $54 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $51 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $38 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$9 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $49 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$3 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $46 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $46 | 34¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | No | $44 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 17¢ | 76¢ | +$34 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.0¢ | 2.9¢ | +$27 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | Yes | $27 | 60¢ | 88¢ | +$13 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $39 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$7 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $38 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $77 | 48¢ | 23¢ | -$40 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $37 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $36 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $29 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $33 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $65 | 15¢ | 7.5¢ | -$32 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$6 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $21 | 58¢ | 79¢ | +$7 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 5.8¢ | 13¢ | +$15 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $31 | 3.4¢ | 3.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 62¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 23¢ | +$6 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $27 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $21 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 65¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $21 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | No | $21 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $16 | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $19 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 36¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $18 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Bought Yes · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?$110m ago
Bought Yes · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$418m ago
Bought Yes · Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?$036m ago
Bought No · Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?$51h ago
Bought Yes · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?$14h ago