 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $479 | 58¢ | 48¢ | -$85 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $269 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $272 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $244 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $244 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $234 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $229 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $220 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$9 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $221 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $211 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$9 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $211 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $225 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$10 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $191 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$7 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $192 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $184 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$8 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $187 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $175 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $167 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $155 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$7 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $156 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $158 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$2 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $152 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $142 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $143 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $140 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $144 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $141 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $136 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $135 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $132 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $123 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $122 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $131 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$7 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $121 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $121 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | No | $110 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $105 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $106 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $108 | 57¢ | 55¢ | -$4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $97 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $86 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$9 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $108 | 58¢ | 51¢ | -$13 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $105 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$11 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $91 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $98 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$7 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $89 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $85 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $87 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $88 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $99 | 90¢ | 80¢ | -$11 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $85 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 44¢ | 49¢ | +$9 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $86 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $88 | 38¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $81 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $83 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$3 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $91 | 65¢ | 58¢ | -$10 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $75 | 33¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $71 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $74 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$5 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 31¢ | 31¢ | -$0 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $69 | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $59 | 66¢ | 76¢ | +$8 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $62 | 43¢ | 47¢ | +$6 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $68 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $67 | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $67 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $60 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $57 | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $71 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$12 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$4 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $54 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $51 | 61¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $44 | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$8 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $58 | 85¢ | 74¢ | -$8 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | No | $47 | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $50 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $51 | 41¢ | 40¢ | -$2 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $44 | 41¢ | 45¢ | +$4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 39¢ | 42¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | No | $42 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $44 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $64 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$20 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $47 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $53 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$9 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $52 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $45 | 39¢ | 37¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 48¢ | 52¢ | +$3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $52 | 30¢ | 23¢ | -$12 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 57¢ | 53¢ | -$3 |
Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$122m ago
Bought Yes · Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$36m ago