 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $263 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$17 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $205 | 78¢ | 72¢ | -$16 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $130 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $74 | 46¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $70 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $65 | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$5 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $55 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$10 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $59 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $62 | 81¢ | 73¢ | -$6 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $34 | 63¢ | 96¢ | +$18 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $43 | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$2 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $34 | 52¢ | 69¢ | +$11 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $41 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 62¢ | 95¢ | +$14 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $27 | 55¢ | 69¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $30 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$4 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | Yes | $31 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$6 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $26 | 43¢ | 52¢ | +$5 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $30 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $30 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $26 | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $33 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $22 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $27 | 93¢ | 74¢ | -$5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $20 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $18 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 29¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $13 | 71¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 45¢ | 33¢ | -$4 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 54¢ | 34¢ | -$6 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $6 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $7 | 54¢ | 40¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? Politics | No | $6 | 75¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 59¢ | 40¢ | -$2 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $4 | 61¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $3 | 44¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.2¢ | 2.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 56¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $2 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $2 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Politics | No | $3 | 53¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 78¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 40¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?$04h ago