← Whale Watch

therealcrucenho

Predicting since Dec 2025740 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$13183¢92¢+$13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$6685¢88¢+$2
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYesResolved$5385¢100¢+$9
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4038¢52¢+$14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4759¢56¢-$2
Iran leadership change by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4094¢100¢+$3
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3177¢100¢+$9
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3495¢100¢+$2
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?PoliticsNoResolved$3398¢100¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?FinanceNoResolved$2783¢100¢+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?FinanceNoResolved$2990¢100¢+$3
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$3097¢100¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2875¢83¢+$3
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2997¢100¢+$1
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2898¢100¢+$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2897¢100¢+$1
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$416¢100¢+$23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2694¢100¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsNoResolved$2386¢100¢+$4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$521¢100¢+$20
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2496¢100¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?FinanceNoResolved$1560¢100¢+$10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2452¢53¢+$1
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2499¢100¢+$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$2075¢88¢+$3
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$522¢100¢+$18
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$1868¢86¢+$5
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1880¢100¢+$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?FinanceNoResolved$1992¢100¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?FinanceNoResolved$1990¢100¢+$2
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2362¢56¢-$2
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$1984¢94¢+$2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsNoResolved$1788¢100¢+$2
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1994¢100¢+$1
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1893¢100¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1676¢92¢+$3
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$210¢100¢+$17
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1786¢95¢+$2
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1790¢100¢+$2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$1680¢91¢+$2
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?PoliticsNoResolved$1797¢100¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?FinanceNoResolved$1899¢100¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?PoliticsNoResolved$1898¢100¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$1680¢89¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?FinanceNoResolved$1798¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1799¢100¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?PoliticsNoResolved$850¢100¢+$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?FinanceNoResolved$744¢100¢+$9
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1277¢100¢+$4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1597¢100¢+$1
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?PoliticsNoResolved$1485¢100¢+$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16100¢100¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1356¢68¢+$3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$1384¢100¢+$2
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$1695¢97¢+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1598¢100¢+$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1594¢95¢+$0
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$425¢100¢+$11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsNoResolved$1278¢100¢+$3
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$1490¢94¢+$1
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$643¢100¢+$8
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1497¢100¢+$0
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$967¢100¢+$5
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1175¢100¢+$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1499¢100¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsNo$1049¢68¢+$4
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$970¢100¢+$4
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1397¢100¢+$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1397¢100¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?FinanceNoResolved$1295¢100¢+$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?PoliticsNoResolved$752¢100¢+$6
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1295¢96¢+$0
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$1261¢66¢+$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsNoResolved$19.0¢100¢+$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?FinanceNoResolved$1195¢100¢+$1
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1297¢100¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?FinanceNoResolved$1297¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1298¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1191¢100¢+$1
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1194¢100¢+$1
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1449¢40¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?FinanceNoResolved$983¢100¢+$2
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$962¢80¢+$2
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$757¢87¢+$4
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1093¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1097¢100¢+$0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? PoliticsNoResolved$1098¢100¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?PoliticsNoResolved$1098¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1098¢100¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?PoliticsNoResolved$988¢100¢+$1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1097¢100¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$996¢99¢+$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$994¢100¢+$1
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$994¢96¢+$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$999¢100¢+$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$994¢100¢+$1
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$999¢100¢+$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$769¢89¢+$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$997¢100¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$773¢100¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$413
NFL-$244
Other sports-$168
NBA-$144
NHL-$104
Tennis-$57
Basketball (other)+$50
Crypto+$47
Finance+$26
Champions League+$20
World Cup+$18
Culture+$7
Biggest hit
+$230
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5
Toughest beat
-$301
Colts vs. Texans: O/U 39.5

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$217d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$217d ago