Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $82K | 50¢ | 76¢ | +$42K |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $82K | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$42K |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 3.1¢ | 52¢ | +$438 |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$126 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.1¢ | 46¢ | +$19 |
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 42¢ | +$14 |
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 42¢ | +$14 |
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 42¢ | +$14 |
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 41¢ | +$14 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 44¢ | +$12 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.5¢ | +$12 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | -$135 |
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 24¢ | +$8 |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ | 20¢ | +$7 |
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 22¢ | +$7 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 23¢ | +$5 |
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 21¢ | +$7 |
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 21¢ | +$7 |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$140 |
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$140 |
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 20¢ | +$6 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 50¢ | +$7 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 21¢ | +$5 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.8¢ | +$6 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $33 | 3.6¢ | 0.6¢ | -$27 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 3.1¢ | 1.8¢ | -$4 |
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $14 | 3.6¢ | 1.1¢ | -$9 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $0 | 4.2¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 4.5¢ | +$3 |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 8.8¢ | +$1 |
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$12 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?Politics | No | $2 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$144 |
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$144 |
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$144 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$144 |
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$144 |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$144 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 3.7¢ | 46¢ | +$2 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 6.0¢ | +$2 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 2.6¢ | +$1 |
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 5.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.3¢ | -$4 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 2.2¢ | +$1 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.8¢ | -$5 |
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 1.4¢ | +$1 |
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.3¢ | -$2 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 6.7¢ | -$1 |
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Mac Meissner win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?Golf | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 2?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will JT Poston win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?Golf | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?Culture | YesResolved | $19 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Esteban Ocon finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $3 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?NBA | YesResolved | $4 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will More Chaos (Ken Carson) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in January 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?NFL | YesResolved | $96 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
Will Webb Simpson win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Golf | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Drew Allar win the Heisman Trophy?College Football | YesResolved | $6 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $56 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Octavian Berceanu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $83 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $3 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 136.5College Hoops | UnderResolved | $594 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$594 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Darius Labanauskas win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sports | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Jalen Royals be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?NFL | YesResolved | $3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Will Angola win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $11 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Golf | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?Golf | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)NHL | CanucksResolved | $7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will No Other Choice win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Travis Hunter be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |