Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $81K | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$48K |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $81K | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$48K |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$0 | 0.0¢ | 24¢ | +$210 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$32 | -0.7¢ | 1.8¢ | +$115 |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$32 | -0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | +$63 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 9.4¢ | +$26 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$32 | -0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | +$54 |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.2¢ | 35¢ | +$14 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 1.6¢ | +$12 |
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$32 | -0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | +$44 |
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ | 28¢ | +$7 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.9¢ | +$5 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 12¢ | +$8 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ | 25¢ | +$7 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ | 24¢ | +$6 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$7 |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$32 | -0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | +$40 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.6¢ | 43¢ | +$6 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +$5 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 1.3¢ | +$2 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $0 | 4.7¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 3.0¢ | +$3 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.1¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 3.8¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 4.2¢ | +$3 |
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 5.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$1 | -0.0¢ | 0.1¢ | +$4 |
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$1 | -0.0¢ | 0.1¢ | +$4 |
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$1 | -0.0¢ | 0.1¢ | +$4 |
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$1 | -0.0¢ | 0.1¢ | +$4 |
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$1 | -0.0¢ | 0.1¢ | +$4 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?Politics | No | $2 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.2¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$32 | -0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | +$35 |
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$32 | -0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | +$35 |
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$32 | -0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | +$35 |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.9¢ | +$2 |
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 3.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.3¢ | +$2 |
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 8.8¢ | +$2 |
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.5¢ | +$2 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 3.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.3¢ | +$2 |
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.8¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | -$0 | -0.7¢ | 7.6¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 4.2¢ | +$0 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 1.4¢ | +$1 |
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Mac Meissner win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?Golf | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 2?Weather | YesResolved | -$1 | -0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | +$1 |
Will JT Poston win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?Golf | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Esteban Ocon finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?NBA | YesResolved | $2 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will More Chaos (Ken Carson) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in January 2026?Politics | YesResolved | -$0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?NFL | YesResolved | -$32 | -0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | +$32 |
Will Webb Simpson win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Golf | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Drew Allar win the Heisman Trophy?College Football | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Octavian Berceanu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Politics | YesResolved | -$3 | -0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | +$3 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | -$5 | -0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | +$5 |
Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 136.5College Hoops | UnderResolved | $591 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$591 |