← Whale Watch

Frenonski

Predicting since Mar 20251,154 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.7K on Politics markets since Mar 2025.

Right now: $1.4K riding on Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$3.5K on GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K91¢91¢-$4
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$66076¢80¢+$32
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$27311¢12¢+$9
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$26491¢89¢-$6
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$20060¢66¢+$20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$18793¢96¢+$6
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$18597¢99¢+$2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$20423¢20¢-$28
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$13798¢99¢+$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$8989¢95¢+$6
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$8393¢96¢+$3
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$4793¢91¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$4081¢80¢-$1
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$3485¢93¢+$3
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3099¢100¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$2790¢97¢+$2
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$2789¢93¢+$1
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$3030¢27¢-$4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2376¢80¢+$1
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1995¢99¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1996¢98¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2041¢36¢-$3
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1679¢89¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1888¢89¢+$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1598¢98¢+$0
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechYes$1389¢97¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1388¢97¢+$1
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$50.2¢0.4¢+$6
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1282¢73¢-$1
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$884¢97¢+$1
China coup attempt before 2027?PoliticsNo$990¢97¢+$1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$880¢96¢+$2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$992¢95¢+$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$985¢95¢+$1
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$884¢93¢+$1
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$32.3¢5.9¢+$5
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$70.5¢0.5¢+$1
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$90.3¢0.3¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$547¢75¢+$3
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$60.6¢0.7¢+$0
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$40.3¢0.4¢+$2
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$488¢96¢+$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$483¢95¢+$1
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$485¢93¢+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$486¢92¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$488¢92¢+$0
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsNo$476¢90¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$546¢41¢-$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsNo$478¢79¢+$0
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$679¢50¢-$2
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$418¢12¢-$1
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?TechNo$240¢27¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$216¢13¢-$0
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsYes$236¢22¢-$1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsJD GamingResolved$19995¢0.0¢-$199
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$3956¢0.0¢-$39
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnereSportsTeam WEResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$15.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Top Esports make a roster change before September?eSportsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$1.7K
Economy+$393
Tech-$328
eSports-$219
Crypto+$185
Culture+$109
Premier League-$33
Finance+$21
Champions League-$16
La Liga+$16
Soccer (other)-$16
Olympics+$5
Biggest hit
+$3.5K
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.5K
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?$014m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?$014m ago
  • Sold Nothing · Nothing Ever Happens: July$51h ago
  • Sold Nothing · Nothing Ever Happens: July$81h ago
  • MERGE Nothing Ever Happens: July$402h ago
  • Bought Something · Nothing Ever Happens: July$53h ago
  • Sold No · Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$2046h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$9510h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?$511h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?$511h ago
  • Bought Something · Nothing Ever Happens: July$113h ago
  • Bought Something · Nothing Ever Happens: July$113h ago