← Whale Watch

thunderquack

Predicting since Oct 2024544 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5081¢96¢+$9
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$5097¢97¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3087¢92¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2572¢81¢+$3
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?PoliticsNo$2289¢98¢+$2
Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsNo$2187¢93¢+$1
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2383¢78¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2087¢92¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$1995¢97¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?PoliticsNo$2086¢80¢-$1
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?PoliticsNo$1894¢95¢+$0
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$1797¢98¢+$0
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?PoliticsYes$1560¢69¢+$2
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1637¢36¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$1590¢95¢+$1
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?PoliticsNo$1476¢80¢+$1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?PoliticsNo$1492¢97¢+$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1489¢92¢+$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1288¢92¢+$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$963¢88¢+$3
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$1288¢93¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$1082¢93¢+$1
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1196¢97¢+$0
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsNo$1076¢84¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1075¢82¢+$1
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?PoliticsNo$1091¢98¢+$1
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?PoliticsNo$1095¢97¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$1097¢98¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1093¢94¢+$0
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$1095¢94¢-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$893¢99¢+$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$779¢87¢+$1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$573¢93¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?PoliticsNo$570¢80¢+$1
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$566¢68¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$594¢98¢+$0
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$592¢95¢+$0
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?PoliticsNo$572¢72¢-$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$544¢44¢-$0
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?PoliticsNo$580¢63¢-$1
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$389¢96¢+$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$394¢96¢+$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$391¢92¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsNo$256¢69¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$160¢88¢+$0
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1569¢0.0¢-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$2081¢0.0¢-$20
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$493¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$518
NFL-$22
Mentions-$12
World Cup-$12
Culture-$10
Crypto-$6
Tech+$4
eSports+$2
Economy+$1
Olympics+$1
Hockey (other)-$1
Weather-$0
Biggest hit
+$68
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Toughest beat
-$35
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$54h ago
  • Bought No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?$74h ago
  • Cashed out No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?$1911h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?$71d ago
  • Bought No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?$52d ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$122d ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$102d ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$82d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$22d ago