 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10.0K | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$928 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $7.7K | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$4 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $6.0K | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$303 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5.0K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$37 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Crypto | No | $5.0K | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$71 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3.7K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.7K | 9.4¢ | 6.4¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 87¢ | 75¢ | -$378 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.3K | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$50 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$83 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.0K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$99 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.7K | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$54 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.6K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$27 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.4K | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$224 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.5K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$56 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 87¢ | 78¢ | -$168 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | No | $1.1K | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$114 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$93 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$35 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 63¢ | 60¢ | -$51 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3.4K | 37¢ | 11¢ | -$2.4K |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $877 | 51¢ | 55¢ | +$57 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $635 | 55¢ | 77¢ | +$242 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $779 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$42 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $698 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$76 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $720 | 58¢ | 58¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $655 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$44 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $653 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$41 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $525 | 39¢ | 49¢ | +$121 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $588 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$44 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $562 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$11 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $580 | 40¢ | 35¢ | -$84 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $600 | 5.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$114 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $449 | 71¢ | 77¢ | +$35 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $474 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$4 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $463 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $427 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$44 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $495 | 66¢ | 60¢ | -$49 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $419 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$25 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $441 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $552 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$167 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $156 | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$222 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $513 | 59¢ | 43¢ | -$142 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $469 | 69¢ | 55¢ | -$100 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?Crypto | No | $347 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $318 | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$24 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Crypto | No | $325 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $350 | 33¢ | 32¢ | -$12 |
 UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Christian Edwards | $328 | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $480 | 64¢ | 43¢ | -$161 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $706 | 40¢ | 18¢ | -$398 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $291 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $282 | 14¢ | 15¢ | +$15 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $290 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $208 | 24¢ | 31¢ | +$60 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $260 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $239 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $240 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$14 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $245 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$9 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | No | $274 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$24 |
 Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $221 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$23 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $31 | 13¢ | 98¢ | +$205 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $302 | 77¢ | 57¢ | -$77 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $212 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $220 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?Crypto | No | $73 | 33¢ | 98¢ | +$144 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $187 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$26 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $198 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | No | $198 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $198 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $195 | 83¢ | 78¢ | -$14 |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $125 | 37¢ | 54¢ | +$55 |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Politics | No | $113 | 47¢ | 72¢ | +$59 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $199 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$35 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $158 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $119 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$32 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $172 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$21 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $141 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $349 | 21¢ | 8.5¢ | -$207 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $100 | 25¢ | 35¢ | +$42 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $131 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$11 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $135 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | +$108 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $114 | 67¢ | 77¢ | +$17 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | Yes | $192 | 9.9¢ | 6.5¢ | -$66 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $120 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | No | $110 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $126 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$17 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $108 | 58¢ | 58¢ | +$0 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $216 | 47¢ | 23¢ | -$112 |
 Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$16 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Tech | Yes | $103 | 63¢ | 57¢ | -$10 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $90 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$9 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $84 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $117 | 47¢ | 36¢ | -$28 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $83 | 48¢ | 51¢ | +$5 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $37 | 17¢ | 40¢ | +$48 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $83 | 47¢ | 46¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $72 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
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