← Whale Watch

bosshog

Predicting since Mar 20221,641 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $38K on Politics markets since Mar 2022.

Right now: $62K riding on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026.

Biggest hit: +$27K on Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$62K91¢96¢+$3.0K
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$24K85¢92¢+$2.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$15K99¢99¢+$88
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$7.5K66¢93¢+$3.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$5.6K19¢14¢-$1.2K
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3.1K72¢96¢+$1.0K
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.4K67¢96¢+$1.1K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3.7K61¢56¢-$278
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.3K99¢100¢+$39
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$2.9K71¢73¢+$56
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.2K38¢93¢+$1.7K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$2.5K99¢100¢+$21
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$49919¢89¢+$1.9K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.2K88¢81¢-$174
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$1.6K80¢83¢+$50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K74¢99¢+$371
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$54937¢95¢+$835
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.1K75¢80¢+$81
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$84985¢95¢+$96
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$72072¢81¢+$85
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1.1K22¢14¢-$375
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$35649¢96¢+$342
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$76076¢68¢-$85
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$56056¢63¢+$65
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$20541¢100¢+$293
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$37993¢94¢+$2
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$31162¢66¢+$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$43587¢57¢-$147
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$10742¢95¢+$134
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1443.0¢4.2¢+$55
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$35571¢32¢-$197
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2323¢92¢+$69
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7075¢93¢+$17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$264.4¢8.8¢+$26
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$816¢90¢+$37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11011¢3.6¢-$74
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$502.0¢1.1¢-$21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2845¢41¢-$3
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBAYes$501.0¢0.1¢-$48
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBYes$28.6¢8.8¢+$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$48516¢0.1¢-$484
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBAYes$603.0¢0.1¢-$59
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$1.4K21¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?PoliticsYesResolved$1031.7¢0.0¢-$103
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$24338¢0.0¢-$243
Rockets vs. LakersNBARocketsResolved$40516¢0.0¢-$405
Rockets vs. LakersNBARocketsResolved$6526¢0.0¢-$65
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8K60¢0.0¢-$1.8K
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMACurtis BlaydesResolved$78.0¢0.0¢-$7
Pistons vs. MagicNBAPistonsResolved$6827¢0.0¢-$68
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$87070¢0.0¢-$870
Hawks vs. KnicksNBAHawksResolved$454.5¢0.0¢-$45
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1809.0¢0.0¢-$180
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K20¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6.9K3.1¢0.0¢-$6.9K
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$03.6¢0.0¢-$0
Trail Blazers vs. SpursNBATrail BlazersResolved$2786.9¢0.0¢-$278
Thunder vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$357.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$190.7¢0.0¢-$19
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$85446¢0.0¢-$854
Knicks vs. HawksNBAHawksResolved$1407.0¢0.0¢-$140
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAIlia TopuriaResolved$39579¢0.0¢-$395
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$15838¢0.0¢-$158
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$2.3K52¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K72¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Spurs vs. ThunderNBASpursResolved$357.0¢0.0¢-$35
Celtics vs. 76ersNBACelticsResolved$757.5¢0.0¢-$75
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$909.0¢0.0¢-$90
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesNBANuggetsResolved$301.5¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$34068¢0.0¢-$340
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5355.3¢0.0¢-$535
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$35154¢0.0¢-$351
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$84668¢0.0¢-$846
France vs. England: Team to WinWorld CupFranceResolved$39139¢0.0¢-$391
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$701.4¢0.0¢-$70
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAAzamat MurzakanovResolved$63764¢0.0¢-$637
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$61015¢0.0¢-$610
Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$453.0¢0.0¢-$45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$91718¢0.0¢-$917
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?PoliticsYesResolved$49233¢0.0¢-$492
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?PoliticsYesResolved$367.3¢0.0¢-$36
Warriors vs. SunsNBAWarriorsResolved$22723¢0.0¢-$227
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike PerryUFC / MMADiazResolved$9739¢0.0¢-$97
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$16232¢0.0¢-$162
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K51¢0.0¢-$1.5K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?PoliticsYesResolved$26026¢0.0¢-$260
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$27027¢0.0¢-$270
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5.3K2.7¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7715¢0.0¢-$77
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$15315¢0.0¢-$153
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K74¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1852.5¢0.0¢-$185
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$49512¢0.0¢-$495

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$38K
World Cup-$14K
Crypto+$10K
NBA-$8.1K
NFL-$4.8K
Other+$1.3K
Economy+$1.2K
UFC / MMA-$988
Tennis-$944
College Hoops-$207
Boxing+$187
Other sports-$176
Biggest hit
+$27K
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Toughest beat
-$5.8K
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$21m ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$51h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$21h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4792h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$22h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$73h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$34h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1925h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$67h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$57h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$67h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$68h ago