 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $593 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $500 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$110 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $347 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $267 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$49 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $386 | 78¢ | 40¢ | -$186 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $191 | 46¢ | 48¢ | +$5 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $180 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $213 | 9.1¢ | 6.5¢ | -$60 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $139 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?NBA | No | $136 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $114 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $436 | 60¢ | 17¢ | -$316 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $118 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $98 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$9 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $99 | 70¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $96 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 67¢ | 85¢ | +$19 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 61¢ | 88¢ | +$29 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $72 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $73 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$3 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $72 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?NBA | No | $56 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $52 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $72 | 74¢ | 59¢ | -$15 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $46 | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $52 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 25¢ | 78¢ | +$36 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $52 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $38 | 64¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $91 | 2.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$40 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?Politics | No | $49 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $29 | 54¢ | 92¢ | +$20 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 56¢ | 71¢ | +$10 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $44 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 68¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $33 | 38¢ | 51¢ | +$11 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $71 | 39¢ | 22¢ | -$31 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $30 | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $31 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $57 | 54¢ | 31¢ | -$24 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $29 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $30 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $28 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 24¢ | 13¢ | -$25 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $21 | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $65 | 53¢ | 20¢ | -$40 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $23 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $19 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $37 | 39¢ | 24¢ | -$15 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $22 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 62¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $20 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $20 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $19 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $15 | 64¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$13 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$19 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$4 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $18 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 67¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $16 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $16 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 31¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 36¢ | 75¢ | +$9 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $16 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 5.0¢ | 78¢ | +$15 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $15 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 6.5¢ | 3.6¢ | -$11 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $16 | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out No · Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?$334m ago
Sold No · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$140m ago
Bought No · Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?$11h ago