 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $385 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $491 | 82¢ | 59¢ | -$140 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $306 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $397 | 78¢ | 56¢ | -$109 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $281 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $241 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$32 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $178 | 46¢ | 64¢ | +$67 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $236 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $141 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $97 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$18 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $108 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $30 | 14¢ | 50¢ | +$75 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $89 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $71 | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $81 | 4.2¢ | 4.2¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 2.1¢ | 2.9¢ | +$20 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Politics | No | $77 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $71 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 61¢ | 80¢ | +$14 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 7.6¢ | 20¢ | +$37 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $47 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? Culture | No | $54 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $45 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $47 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $16 | 25¢ | 75¢ | +$32 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $46 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $46 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 25¢ | 69¢ | +$30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $47 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $54 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$9 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $32 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | No | $43 | 50¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $41 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $38 | 40¢ | 40¢ | -$0 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBA | Yes | $36 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $33 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$4 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $35 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $27 | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $36 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $28 | 58¢ | 73¢ | +$7 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $29 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $29 | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$6 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $32 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 71¢ | 88¢ | +$6 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $26 | 56¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $28 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $27 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Finance | No | $26 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 25¢ | 57¢ | +$14 |
 NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?NBA | No | $24 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Politics | No | $22 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $13 | 49¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 67¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $22 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $19 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 87¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $18 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBA | No | $19 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?Politics | No | $17 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $15 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $10 | 35¢ | 63¢ | +$8 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $21 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 46¢ | 36¢ | -$5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $16 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $15 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $14 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?Crypto | No | $14 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $15 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $12 | 64¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $11 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 5.0¢ | 63¢ | +$12 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | No | $13 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Sold No · Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$01m ago
Sold Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$06m ago
Bought No · No one announced as next James Bond?$118m ago