 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | No | $239 | 58¢ | 85¢ | +$109 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $174 | 36¢ | 52¢ | +$75 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $252 | 55¢ | 54¢ | -$6 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $150 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $149 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $120 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $78 | 64¢ | 92¢ | +$35 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $103 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $94 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $97 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $96 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $92 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $47 | 44¢ | 80¢ | +$38 |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics | Yes | $75 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $68 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $73 | 66¢ | 72¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $75 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $63 | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$15 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $75 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $69 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$8 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $47 | 61¢ | 99¢ | +$29 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $79 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$3 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $42 | 51¢ | 91¢ | +$32 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $73 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $256 | 56¢ | 16¢ | -$183 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $69 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $66 | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$6 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Politics | Yes | $69 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $71 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $38 | 44¢ | 79¢ | +$31 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics | No | $64 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $63 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $63 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $63 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $39 | 58¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | No | $54 | 77¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 24¢ | 16¢ | -$32 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $57 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLB | No | $59 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $54 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $53 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $55 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 58¢ | 70¢ | +$9 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Economy | No | $51 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $45 | 69¢ | 82¢ | +$9 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 53¢ | 62¢ | +$7 |
 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $44 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 54¢ | 50¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 47¢ | 87¢ | +$21 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $24 | 39¢ | 78¢ | +$23 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $43 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 49¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $41 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Tech | No | $46 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$4 |
 Will Congress override any veto in 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $49 | 59¢ | 49¢ | -$8 |
 Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | No | $46 | 78¢ | 67¢ | -$7 |
 Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $45 | 73¢ | 63¢ | -$7 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 45¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 45¢ | 87¢ | +$18 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $58 | 12¢ | 7.5¢ | -$22 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $39 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$4 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 57¢ | 93¢ | +$14 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $33 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 34¢ | +$25 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 57¢ | 87¢ | +$11 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $29 | 31¢ | 35¢ | +$3 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 31¢ | +$11 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $29 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $22 | 74¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 55¢ | 77¢ | +$8 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $28 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | No | $38 | 72¢ | 55¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 63¢ | 78¢ | +$5 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $101 | 84¢ | 23¢ | -$73 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 90¢ | 33¢ | -$48 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $16 | 46¢ | 78¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $66 | 54¢ | 22¢ | -$39 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $31 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$5 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | No | $26 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $22 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.2¢ | 95¢ | +$24 |
 Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $23 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Politics | No | $21 | 52¢ | 60¢ | +$3 |
 Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Politics | No | $20 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 GTA VI released by October 31?Culture | No | $23 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $20 | 58¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 35¢ | 16¢ | -$27 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $21 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 54¢ | 84¢ | +$8 |
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