Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | No | $239 | 58¢ | 77¢ | +$77 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $252 | 55¢ | 45¢ | -$48 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $153 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $150 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $141 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 50¢ | 92¢ | +$57 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $130 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$7 |
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $109 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $82 | 53¢ | 72¢ | +$29 |
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $78 | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$31 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $101 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $89 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $97 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $91 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$7 |
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $96 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $92 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $88 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $94 | 91¢ | 83¢ | -$8 |
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?World Cup | No | $73 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $113 | 78¢ | 57¢ | -$29 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics | Yes | $75 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$12 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics | No | $74 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $74 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $77 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $75 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | No | $74 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $256 | 56¢ | 17¢ | -$181 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $67 | 71¢ | 79¢ | +$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?Weather | No | $43 | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$31 |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $76 | 85¢ | 81¢ | -$3 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $69 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | Yes | $71 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $65 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $51 | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$20 |
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$21 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $68 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $62 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 59¢ | 68¢ | +$10 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $75 | 78¢ | 72¢ | -$6 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $74 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$5 |
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $64 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $65 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $55 | 61¢ | 73¢ | +$10 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $63 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $40 | 58¢ | 93¢ | +$24 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $81 | 71¢ | 53¢ | -$21 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $57 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $46 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $55 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $37 | 41¢ | 62¢ | +$19 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $42 | 51¢ | 69¢ | +$14 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $57 | 64¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $35 | 38¢ | 61¢ | +$21 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $56 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $53 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 58¢ | 66¢ | +$6 |
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$6 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?Politics | No | $47 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $45 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Tech | No | $51 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $57 | 53¢ | 47¢ | -$7 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $45 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 54¢ | 65¢ | +$8 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $52 | 67¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $40 | 69¢ | 83¢ | +$8 |
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 94¢ | 91¢ | -$2 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $49 | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $46 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $47 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech | Yes | $43 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Tech | No | $42 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 54¢ | 44¢ | -$10 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $58 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$17 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | No | $36 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $29 | 48¢ | 66¢ | +$11 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$5 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $27 | 62¢ | 87¢ | +$11 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 38¢ | +$18 |
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $34 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
Trump out as President before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $36 | 49¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $52 | 53¢ | 38¢ | -$16 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of July?Finance | No | $12 | 25¢ | 74¢ | +$24 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $34 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $33 | 56¢ | 59¢ | +$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $14 | 41¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |