 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $122 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $118 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$9 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $114 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $74 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $53 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $49 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $23 | 44¢ | 86¢ | +$22 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $47 | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$5 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $37 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $37 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 65¢ | 61¢ | -$3 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $33 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $27 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$8 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 57¢ | 45¢ | -$9 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 40¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $31 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 46¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 66¢ | 78¢ | +$5 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $28 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
 Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $26 | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 33¢ | 36¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$7 |
 Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $21 | 52¢ | 68¢ | +$6 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $19 | 47¢ | 67¢ | +$8 |
| Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $12 | 39¢ | 82¢ | +$13 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 61¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $18 | 5.1¢ | 6.3¢ | +$4 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $16 | 68¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $21 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $18 | 27¢ | 33¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $26 | 60¢ | 50¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 74¢ | 63¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 60¢ | 39¢ | -$12 |
 Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics | No | $18 | 45¢ | 53¢ | +$3 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $18 | 62¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $18 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $14 | 52¢ | 65¢ | +$3 |
 Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | No | $17 | 51¢ | 51¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 45¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $14 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | No | $19 | 69¢ | 51¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $23 | 65¢ | 40¢ | -$9 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 66¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $11 | 55¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 48¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 61¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | No | $13 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 73¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
| Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $16 | 45¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $12 | 61¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Politics | No | $9 | 56¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 44¢ | 59¢ | +$3 |
 Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | No | $10 | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 9.9¢ | 6.9¢ | -$4 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $15 | 46¢ | 29¢ | -$5 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 39¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 56¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $6 | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $10 | 46¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $7 | 40¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 50¢ | 14¢ | -$11 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $3 | 33¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |