 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $148 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $121 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $98 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$16 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $104 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $98 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $97 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $73 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $74 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $73 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $70 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $57 | 57¢ | 64¢ | +$7 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $56 | 42¢ | 45¢ | +$4 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $57 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $54 | 4.9¢ | 5.1¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $57 | 75¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $51 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $53 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $50 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $49 | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $40 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$6 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $37 | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$6 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $36 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$7 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $35 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $30 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $29 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $24 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $29 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $15 | 36¢ | 64¢ | +$11 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $18 | 52¢ | 75¢ | +$7 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $23 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $19 | 47¢ | 60¢ | +$5 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $17 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $22 | 44¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 46¢ | 35¢ | -$6 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $18 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 29¢ | 48¢ | +$7 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 67¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $12 | 64¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $16 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $12 | 56¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 7.5¢ | 6.6¢ | -$2 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $13 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 32¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $11 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 61¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 44¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $8 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 57¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $6 | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $4 | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 71¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |