Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $4.8K | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$562 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 69¢ | 91¢ | +$426 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$18 |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$31 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $906 | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$39 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $607 | 61¢ | 91¢ | +$298 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $847 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$58 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $485 | 54¢ | 86¢ | +$284 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $632 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$47 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $527 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$56 |
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Politics | No | $344 | 59¢ | 78¢ | +$109 |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $396 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $357 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$23 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $135 | 27¢ | 67¢ | +$198 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $662 | 41¢ | 19¢ | -$366 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $258 | 52¢ | 54¢ | +$12 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $264 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $268 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Politics | Yes | $265 | 67¢ | 61¢ | -$26 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $221 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$18 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $227 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $160 | 53¢ | 75¢ | +$63 |
NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics | No | $212 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $170 | 57¢ | 69¢ | +$37 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $172 | 34¢ | 41¢ | +$30 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $188 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Politics | No | $184 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $176 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $143 | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$40 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $154 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$19 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | No | $192 | 41¢ | 36¢ | -$26 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $219 | 31¢ | 24¢ | -$54 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $140 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$16 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $145 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$10 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics | No | $87 | 44¢ | 76¢ | +$64 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $213 | 42¢ | 27¢ | -$76 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $234 | 39¢ | 23¢ | -$99 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $405 | 20¢ | 6.5¢ | -$275 |
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Politics | No | $113 | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$10 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 35¢ | 60¢ | +$50 |
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Politics | No | $103 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$14 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $88 | 48¢ | 55¢ | +$13 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 98¢ | +$20 |
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?Politics | No | $69 | 69¢ | 97¢ | +$28 |
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $75 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$19 |
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 79¢ | 89¢ | +$10 |
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Politics | No | $67 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$20 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 21¢ | 86¢ | +$65 |
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $88 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $132 | 66¢ | 41¢ | -$51 |
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Politics | No | $78 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 62¢ | 77¢ | +$15 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | No | $63 | 63¢ | 77¢ | +$14 |
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Politics | No | $32 | 32¢ | 76¢ | +$44 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $71 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Politics | No | $70 | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 67¢ | 73¢ | +$6 |
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Politics | No | $72 | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics | No | $48 | 59¢ | 86¢ | +$22 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 0.9¢ | 1.8¢ | +$35 |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 80¢ | 69¢ | -$12 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $69 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$4 |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | Yes | $153 | 35¢ | 15¢ | -$88 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $63 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Politics | No | $59 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 47¢ | 61¢ | +$14 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | No | $72 | 36¢ | 31¢ | -$11 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 65¢ | 60¢ | -$6 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $264 | 3.2¢ | 0.7¢ | -$207 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $52 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $49 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?Politics | No | $24 | 47¢ | 95¢ | +$24 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | No | $57 | 57¢ | 47¢ | -$11 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Politics | No | $50 | 50¢ | 47¢ | -$4 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 77¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?Politics | No | $30 | 60¢ | 90¢ | +$15 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Politics | No | $45 | 75¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Politics | No | $28 | 61¢ | 96¢ | +$16 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $34 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$9 |
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Politics | No | $31 | 71¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?Politics | No | $31 | 77¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 49¢ | 39¢ | -$11 |
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?Politics | No | $26 | 43¢ | 62¢ | +$11 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$10 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | No | $36 | 36¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Politics | No | $29 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |