 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $4.0K | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$416 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 64¢ | 58¢ | -$166 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $1.3K | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$81 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $667 | 52¢ | 99¢ | +$597 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $1.2K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$30 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $834 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$117 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $822 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$113 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $906 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$11 |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Politics | No | $578 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$73 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $798 | 39¢ | 29¢ | -$198 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $527 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$30 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $366 | 52¢ | 75¢ | +$155 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $445 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$46 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $326 | 54¢ | 68¢ | +$82 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $362 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $316 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$22 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $258 | 63¢ | 81¢ | +$76 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $272 | 54¢ | 58¢ | +$18 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $276 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $309 | 31¢ | 27¢ | -$39 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics | No | $244 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $351 | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$176 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Politics | No | $146 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $194 | 49¢ | 36¢ | -$52 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $110 | 55¢ | 69¢ | +$27 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $68 | 0.9¢ | 1.8¢ | +$64 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $91 | 30¢ | 43¢ | +$36 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $68 | 34¢ | 64¢ | +$59 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $68 | 34¢ | 60¢ | +$52 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 17¢ | 57¢ | +$81 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $85 | 43¢ | 55¢ | +$24 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $80 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$13 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | Yes | $152 | 35¢ | 22¢ | -$60 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $64 | 32¢ | 46¢ | +$27 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $75 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$16 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$12 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $42 | 42¢ | 88¢ | +$45 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $324 | 32¢ | 8.5¢ | -$239 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $67 | 1.9¢ | 2.4¢ | +$14 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $75 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $85 | 85¢ | 75¢ | -$11 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?Politics | No | $69 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$5 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?Politics | No | $69 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 71¢ | -$8 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$4 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $63 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$6 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 45¢ | 62¢ | +$17 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $64 | 64¢ | 58¢ | -$6 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 65¢ | 56¢ | -$9 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 50¢ | +$45 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 21¢ | 50¢ | +$29 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $81 | 27¢ | 16¢ | -$34 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 77¢ | 91¢ | +$7 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | No | $34 | 17¢ | 23¢ | +$11 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 45¢ | +$12 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Politics | No | $36 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics | No | $42 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$3 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $24 | 24¢ | 38¢ | +$13 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $308 | 4.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$274 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $33 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | Yes | $32 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | Yes | $33 | 66¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $34 | 79¢ | 69¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Politics | No | $26 | 71¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 11¢ | 7.3¢ | -$13 |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Politics | No | $28 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 70¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 57¢ | 25¢ | -$32 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | Yes | $54 | 22¢ | 9.5¢ | -$30 |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | No | $18 | 37¢ | 46¢ | +$4 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | No | $37 | 73¢ | 45¢ | -$14 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?Politics | No | $19 | 38¢ | 28¢ | -$5 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 32¢ | 13¢ | -$19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $428 | 28¢ | 0.8¢ | -$416 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $19 | 43¢ | 27¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 20¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $44 | 44¢ | 4.2¢ | -$40 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.9¢ | 4.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 7.0¢ | -$7 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $147 | 30¢ | 0.7¢ | -$144 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ | 1.7¢ | +$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$0 |
