Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $442 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $12 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $10 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 47¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $8 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $8 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $7 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $7 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $5 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $6 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $5 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3 | 51¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 62¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $4 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 53¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $3 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $3 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $4 | 95¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $4 | 56¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 87¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $3 | 98¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $2 | 65¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 88¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $3 | 83¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia TigersBaseball (other) | Samsung Lions | $2 | 51¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 46¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $1 million?Culture | Yes | $2 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $2 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $2 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?NBA | No | $2 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by September 30?Finance | No | $2 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |