← Whale Watch

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783 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $82K on Politics markets.

Right now: $1000 riding on Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?.

Biggest hit: +$3.7K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3391¢92¢+$0
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$2752¢62¢+$5
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2383¢95¢+$3
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2080¢99¢+$5
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2495¢97¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$1978¢100¢+$5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$2483¢80¢-$1
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$2296¢99¢+$1
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$434.3¢2.1¢-$23
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1994¢95¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1517¢21¢+$3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$1898¢99¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$1787¢89¢+$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1695¢96¢+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$1592¢99¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$1697¢97¢-$0
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$1595¢96¢+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1594¢95¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$1489¢94¢+$1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1591¢86¢-$1
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$1394¢96¢+$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1721¢15¢-$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$915¢22¢+$4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1288¢91¢+$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$1296¢93¢-$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$969¢88¢+$3
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$750¢88¢+$5
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$651¢100¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$1037¢42¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$658¢99¢+$4
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$884¢94¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$884¢92¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$985¢79¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$783¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$898¢98¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$898¢96¢-$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$883¢73¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$788¢88¢+$0
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$796¢99¢+$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$547¢64¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$687¢86¢-$0
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBANo$698¢100¢+$0
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$587¢100¢+$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$587¢98¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$694¢97¢+$0
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$696¢100¢+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$587¢91¢+$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$585¢86¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$584¢86¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$583¢82¢-$0
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$596¢98¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBANo$499¢100¢+$0
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$4100¢100¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$497¢99¢+$0
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$4100¢100¢+$0
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$495¢99¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$498¢98¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$487¢78¢-$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$495¢97¢+$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$497¢96¢-$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$354¢64¢+$1
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$384¢94¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$492¢94¢+$0
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$491¢94¢+$0
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$488¢93¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$491¢92¢+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$489¢92¢+$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$495¢91¢-$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$439¢38¢-$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$378¢78¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$384¢99¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$489¢58¢-$2
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$453¢36¢-$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$534¢18¢-$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$580¢44¢-$2
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$265¢69¢+$0
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$290¢100¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?NBANo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$292¢100¢+$0
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$299¢100¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$296¢100¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$292¢99¢+$0
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2100¢99¢-$0
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$298¢99¢+$0
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$281¢99¢+$0
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$298¢99¢+$0
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$299¢99¢-$0
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$288¢98¢+$0
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$294¢98¢+$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$295¢98¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$295¢98¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$292¢98¢+$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$295¢98¢+$0
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$298¢97¢-$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?PoliticsNo$294¢97¢+$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$386¢65¢-$1
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$298¢96¢-$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$295¢95¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$82K
MLB-$213
Premier League-$99
eSports+$64
La Liga-$51
Crypto+$47
Finance+$44
Culture-$34
Tech+$23
NHL-$23
Other sports+$21
MLS+$16
Biggest hit
+$3.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$86K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$23h ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$27h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$27h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$27h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$29h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$217h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$218h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$221h ago
  • Bought No · Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?$21d ago