 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$25 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.2K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $797 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $736 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | No | $634 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$31 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $639 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $549 | 53¢ | 62¢ | +$93 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $588 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$53 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $499 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $567 | 48¢ | 39¢ | -$115 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $414 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $408 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $324 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$14 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $289 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$48 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | No | $321 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $306 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $267 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $283 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $276 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$10 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $275 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $277 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $263 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$10 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $281 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$13 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $235 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $228 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Politics | No | $188 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$40 |
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $227 | 98¢ | 95¢ | -$6 |
 Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $207 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $229 | 89¢ | 74¢ | -$37 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $174 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | No | $178 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$3 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $156 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $153 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $158 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $154 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $136 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$19 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $157 | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $148 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $145 | 60¢ | 62¢ | +$3 |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $143 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $169 | 90¢ | 73¢ | -$32 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $130 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $91 | 52¢ | 74¢ | +$37 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $143 | 66¢ | 59¢ | -$16 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | No | $127 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $129 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$4 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $129 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$5 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $116 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $113 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $105 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $113 | 67¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$18 |
 Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $103 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $102 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $99 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $94 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $73 | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$13 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
 Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | Yes | $82 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $91 | 89¢ | 82¢ | -$7 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $79 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $98 | 57¢ | 45¢ | -$22 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $81 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$8 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $68 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $69 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $71 | 85¢ | 81¢ | -$3 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | No | $66 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 66¢ | 78¢ | +$10 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $62 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Politics | No | $65 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $67 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$5 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics | No | $60 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $58 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 67¢ | 58¢ | -$9 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $80 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$26 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $52 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Politics | No | $50 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $50 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $51 | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $47 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $49 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Eduardo Riedel win the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
 Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$3 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Politics | No | $44 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?Politics | Yes | $42 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Sold No · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$69m ago