← Whale Watch

tzquantalpha001

Predicting since Jun 2026390 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.5K on Politics markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $2.9K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2.7K84¢87¢+$98
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K98¢99¢+$29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsNo$52486¢89¢+$19
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$55390¢88¢-$12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$45753¢56¢+$23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$46296¢97¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$41278¢80¢+$9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$38185¢89¢+$18
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$36092¢99¢+$28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$36075¢76¢+$1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$31874¢76¢+$5
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$29494¢94¢-$2
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$28289¢89¢-$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$27390¢92¢+$5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$26388¢91¢+$8
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$26080¢80¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$25997¢95¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$23396¢97¢+$2
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$22386¢88¢+$5
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$22738¢38¢-$3
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$21081¢82¢+$3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$19589¢90¢+$4
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19094¢95¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$17291¢97¢+$11
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$22576¢60¢-$48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$16796¢94¢-$4
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16092¢93¢+$2
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsNo$14887¢90¢+$5
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$13540¢44¢+$13
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$14188¢88¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12374¢81¢+$12
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$12264¢71¢+$13
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12995¢98¢+$4
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12694¢97¢+$5
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$12291¢93¢+$2
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12292¢92¢-$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12296¢95¢-$1
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12393¢92¢-$2
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$10767¢74¢+$12
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12342¢40¢-$8
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$11359¢56¢-$4
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$10195¢94¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8557¢65¢+$11
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$8364¢69¢+$6
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8795¢95¢-$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$8491¢92¢+$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$7676¢80¢+$4
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$7892¢94¢+$1
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?PoliticsNo$7849¢47¢-$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$10830¢21¢-$34
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$7188¢87¢-$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6520¢20¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$5558¢63¢+$5
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?PoliticsNo$5899¢100¢+$1
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?PoliticsYes$5997¢97¢+$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$6076¢75¢-$1
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$5895¢96¢+$1
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$5896¢95¢-$1
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$5891¢90¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$3843¢64¢+$18
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$5599¢99¢+$0
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5362¢63¢+$1
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$5393¢90¢-$2
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$4899¢99¢+$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$7852¢31¢-$32
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4796¢97¢+$0
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsYes$3980¢91¢+$5
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?PoliticsYes$4496¢96¢-$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$4287¢88¢+$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4714¢13¢-$4
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4293¢94¢+$0
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$4089¢89¢-$0
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherYes$3884¢87¢+$1
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$3994¢94¢-$0
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$3893¢91¢-$1
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$3780¢81¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$9446¢18¢-$57
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3688¢87¢-$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$3491¢92¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July?PoliticsNo$3298¢99¢+$0
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2779¢90¢+$4
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2883¢87¢+$1
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?PoliticsNo$3099¢99¢-$0
Haiti elections delayed again?PoliticsYes$2998¢99¢+$0
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2897¢99¢+$1
Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsYes$2796¢97¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsNo$2952¢49¢-$2
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$2995¢90¢-$2
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$2899¢96¢-$1
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2597¢97¢+$0
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$2491¢89¢-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2441¢38¢-$2
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1983¢95¢+$3
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?PoliticsNo$2295¢93¢-$1
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNo$2097¢98¢+$0
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?PoliticsNo$2096¢96¢-$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2088¢90¢+$1
Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$2099¢96¢-$1
Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$1997¢99¢+$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$1990¢92¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.5K
World Cup+$188
UFC / MMA+$27
Soccer (other)+$12
Crypto-$11
NBA+$8
Tech-$7
Finance+$5
Culture+$1
eSports+$1
Other+$1
Weather+$1
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$2152s ago
  • Bought No · Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$71m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?$31h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?$51h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?$61h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?$41h ago
  • Bought No · Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$141h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?$501h ago
  • Bought No · Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$72h ago
  • Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$432h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?$62h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?$62h ago