 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $4.5K | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$252 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $3.3K | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$105 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$82 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$108 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$24 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $675 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$8 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $588 | 58¢ | 65¢ | +$61 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $540 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$25 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $498 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$20 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $513 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $481 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $469 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$19 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $363 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$24 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $272 | 63¢ | 89¢ | +$110 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $268 | 67¢ | 94¢ | +$109 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $216 | 54¢ | 94¢ | +$158 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $338 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $335 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $312 | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$21 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $212 | 53¢ | 71¢ | +$70 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $247 | 62¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $184 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $194 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $182 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $158 | 58¢ | 73¢ | +$38 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$21 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $181 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $187 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $172 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $171 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $148 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$18 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $173 | 86¢ | 80¢ | -$12 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $140 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $111 | 71¢ | 90¢ | +$29 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $120 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $103 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$13 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $104 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 55¢ | +$79 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $138 | 69¢ | 52¢ | -$34 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $122 | 76¢ | 65¢ | -$19 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? Culture | No | $100 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $92 | 61¢ | 67¢ | +$8 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics | No | $85 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $71 | 71¢ | 90¢ | +$20 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $89 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $74 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$14 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $80 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $88 | 88¢ | 76¢ | -$13 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $56 | 56¢ | 73¢ | +$16 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $63 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$9 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $69 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $90 | 30¢ | 22¢ | -$24 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $92 | 31¢ | 20¢ | -$32 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | No | $54 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $37 | 49¢ | 74¢ | +$18 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $49 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 58¢ | 53¢ | -$5 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $46 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $37 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$9 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $29 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $26 | 52¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $49 | 14¢ | 3.5¢ | -$37 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | Yes | $20 | 3.3¢ | 1.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 99¢ | 12¢ | -$44 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $56 | 28¢ | 2.7¢ | -$51 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $104 | 14¢ | 0.5¢ | -$100 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.8¢ | +$3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 5.0¢ | 0.3¢ | -$48 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $82 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $240 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
 Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $48 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $81 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $34 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Tech | YesResolved | $27 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $114 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $51 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech | NoResolved | $91 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Kash Patel out by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $122 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?World Cup | YesResolved | $52 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in May?Mentions | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $321 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$321 |
Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$401d ago
Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1802d ago
Sold No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$72d ago