 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$172 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$128 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $2.0K | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$150 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.4K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $888 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $874 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $482 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $469 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $444 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$12 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $417 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$8 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | No | $393 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $370 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$26 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $384 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $335 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$33 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $291 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $296 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $289 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $304 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$17 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $270 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $261 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $197 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$15 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $184 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $105 | 60¢ | 91¢ | +$53 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $141 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$10 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $120 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $103 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$27 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 50¢ | 62¢ | +$23 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $124 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$7 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $105 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $96 | 64¢ | 70¢ | +$8 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?Politics | No | $99 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $96 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Politics | Yes | $91 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics | No | $85 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$12 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $107 | 54¢ | 44¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $80 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $69 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $154 | 39¢ | 19¢ | -$80 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $99 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$26 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $63 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
 Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | No | $79 | 79¢ | 69¢ | -$11 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $56 | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$11 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $37 | 49¢ | 86¢ | +$27 |
 Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Politics | No | $60 | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$4 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$12 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
 Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $46 | 76¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$5 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $37 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
 Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 61¢ | 38¢ | -$28 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $56 | 37¢ | 23¢ | -$21 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | No | $34 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $29 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 45¢ | 29¢ | -$16 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $27 | 67¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 81¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $139 | 27¢ | 4.5¢ | -$116 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $30 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$11 |
 Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 19¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $11 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 58¢ | 14¢ | -$45 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $82 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Finance | NoResolved | $170 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $56 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $47 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Tech | YesResolved | $27 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $114 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $51 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech | NoResolved | $91 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
 Kash Patel out by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?World Cup | YesResolved | $52 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | EnglandResolved | $229 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$229 |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $51 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?Mentions | YesResolved | $70 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $34 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $695 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$695 |
Sold No · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$1262d ago