← Whale Watch

0xb4f6…eada

2,453 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$6046¢64¢+$23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$5859¢74¢+$14
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$7091¢94¢+$2
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$7097¢98¢+$1
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7099¢99¢-$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$6080¢91¢+$8
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsNo$6080¢89¢+$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6080¢89¢+$6
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$6067¢73¢+$5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$6070¢76¢+$4
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$7069¢63¢-$6
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoNo$6094¢99¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$6176¢80¢+$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$6078¢83¢+$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6093¢97¢+$3
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?PoliticsNo$5990¢95¢+$4
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6096¢100¢+$2
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$6091¢95¢+$2
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?Other sportsYes$6096¢99¢+$2
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? TechNo$6099¢99¢+$1
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$6095¢96¢+$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$6096¢96¢+$0
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$6039¢40¢+$0
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?FinanceNo$60100¢100¢+$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$60100¢100¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$6096¢96¢+$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$6094¢95¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$60100¢99¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$6099¢99¢-$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6088¢88¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$5999¢99¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6077¢76¢-$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5374¢82¢+$5
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$6091¢89¢-$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$6070¢68¢-$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$6091¢85¢-$4
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$5391¢95¢+$2
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$7016¢13¢-$16
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?FinanceNo$5298¢99¢+$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$6066¢56¢-$9
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6065¢56¢-$9
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceNo$6064¢54¢-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6546¢36¢-$15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$7024¢16¢-$21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$7025¢17¢-$23
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$4494¢94¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$3066¢91¢+$12
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$4427¢26¢-$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3968¢68¢+$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?PoliticsNo$3786¢91¢+$2
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3594¢97¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3597¢98¢+$0
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?PoliticsNo$3081¢91¢+$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$3096¢99¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3076¢75¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4932¢19¢-$21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1850¢80¢+$10
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2076¢78¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$3935¢18¢-$19
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1993¢95¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$1057¢100¢+$7
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$950¢88¢+$7
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$1585¢89¢+$1
Will Elon register any party before 2027?PoliticsNo$1595¢97¢+$0
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$1353¢61¢+$2
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$1368¢71¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1170¢81¢+$2
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?TechNo$1077¢80¢+$0
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$1026¢23¢-$1
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsNo$748¢49¢+$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1850¢20¢-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$549¢65¢+$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$950¢12¢-$7
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$154¢69¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$190¢92¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather+$705
Politics-$76
Soccer (other)-$13
Finance-$9
NBA+$7
Crypto+$7
Tech+$5
Other sports+$2
Culture+$0
Biggest hit
+$29
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?
Toughest beat
-$68
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$05h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$05h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$05h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$05h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$05h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$15h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$15h ago