Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $180 | 45¢ | 63¢ | +$71 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $158 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $143 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 18¢ | 56¢ | +$83 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $94 | 56¢ | 65¢ | +$15 |
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 90¢ | +$90 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $75 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $60 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$10 |
Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $68 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $60 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$10 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?Crypto | No | $50 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $58 | 9.3¢ | 8.5¢ | -$5 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $50 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $50 | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $50 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.7¢ | 49¢ | +$47 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $50 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$1 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $50 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Finance | No | $50 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $48 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $50 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 49¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 59¢ | 74¢ | +$9 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $49 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $50 | 89¢ | 85¢ | -$3 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$14 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 46¢ | 36¢ | -$14 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 3.9¢ | 3.6¢ | -$4 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $40 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $40 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $40 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? Culture | No | $40 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $34 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $50 | 75¢ | 56¢ | -$13 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $38 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $30 | 36¢ | 43¢ | +$6 |
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $31 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $30 | 39¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $30 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $30 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $30 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $27 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $36 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$10 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Crypto | Yes | $40 | 2.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$16 |
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | No | $21 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Tech | No | $20 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $20 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?Finance | No | $20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $20 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?Finance | No | $20 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $12 | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$7 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $20 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $13 | 3.1¢ | 3.8¢ | +$3 |
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 9.7¢ | 5.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Elon register any party before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Finance | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 11¢ | +$11 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $9 | 53¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $10 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 15¢ | 15¢ | -$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 32¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $6 | 27¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$7 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 27¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |