 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $143 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $180 | 45¢ | 37¢ | -$33 |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $77 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $81 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$7 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 56¢ | 85¢ | +$26 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $60 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $68 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $50 | 78¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 72¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $37 | 9.3¢ | 13¢ | +$16 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $48 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $60 | 64¢ | 53¢ | -$11 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 40¢ | 62¢ | +$15 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $30 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$7 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $40 | 74¢ | 64¢ | -$5 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $24 | 36¢ | 50¢ | +$9 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $23 | 59¢ | 81¢ | +$8 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $30 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 53¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $34 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Politics | Yes | $30 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 67¢ | +$10 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics | No | $28 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Politics | Yes | $30 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $18 | 54¢ | 84¢ | +$10 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 16¢ | 7.2¢ | -$33 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $25 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $15 | 37¢ | 62¢ | +$10 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $25 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $26 | 68¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 31¢ | 25¢ | -$6 |
 Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Politics | No | $19 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 76¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Tech | No | $20 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $18 | 68¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 74¢ | 54¢ | -$8 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 56¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $20 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $19 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 6.9¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 76¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?Politics | Yes | $14 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$6 |
 Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?Politics | No | $15 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $15 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $15 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $15 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 3.9¢ | 2.4¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 57¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 31¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 68¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 65¢ | +$5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $12 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 64¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 9.7¢ | 3.7¢ | -$19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 9.4¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 66¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 27¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 12¢ | 18¢ | +$4 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?Politics | Yes | $13 | 95¢ | 68¢ | -$4 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 26¢ | 36¢ | +$2 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $29 | 43¢ | 13¢ | -$20 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Finance | Yes | $69 | 69¢ | 8.4¢ | -$61 |
 Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$15m ago
Sold Yes · Spain snap election called by October 31?$07m ago