← Whale Watch

0x0f18937034A2a20178c3b7641305440157145b28-1767197506192

Predicting since Dec 20252,931 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$18045¢63¢+$71
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$15858¢56¢-$4
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$14391¢93¢+$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$4018¢56¢+$83
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9456¢65¢+$15
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$00.0¢90¢+$90
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$7578¢80¢+$2
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$6064¢75¢+$10
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$6897¢98¢+$1
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6083¢91¢+$5
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$6099¢99¢-$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4872¢88¢+$10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$5288¢95¢+$4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoNo$5094¢100¢+$3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$589.3¢8.5¢-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5078¢83¢+$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5093¢97¢+$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$5064¢68¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$5084¢87¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$43.7¢49¢+$47
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$5039¢40¢+$1
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$5095¢96¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5098¢98¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$50100¢100¢+$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$4891¢95¢+$2
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$5092¢91¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$5049¢49¢-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$3959¢74¢+$9
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$4995¢93¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$5089¢85¢-$3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6016¢13¢-$14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6046¢36¢-$14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$493.9¢3.6¢-$4
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$4074¢82¢+$4
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$4093¢95¢+$1
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$4062¢63¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$4096¢96¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4099¢99¢+$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$40100¢100¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4096¢96¢-$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4088¢88¢-$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$4089¢88¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$3487¢97¢+$4
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$5075¢56¢-$13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$3844¢44¢-$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3036¢43¢+$6
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?PoliticsNo$3286¢90¢+$1
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$3194¢94¢-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$3039¢41¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3149¢48¢-$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3097¢98¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$3086¢87¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$30100¢100¢-$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$2772¢80¢+$3
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$2799¢99¢+$0
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2596¢100¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3623¢17¢-$10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2077¢94¢+$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$402.5¢1.5¢-$16
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? TechNo$21100¢99¢-$0
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?PoliticsNo$2088¢95¢+$1
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?TechNo$2084¢87¢+$1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2084¢87¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2076¢78¢+$1
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?PoliticsNo$2091¢92¢+$0
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?FinanceNo$20100¢100¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$2098¢98¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$20100¢99¢-$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2092¢92¢-$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1250¢80¢+$7
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$1681¢95¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$2076¢73¢-$1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1993¢95¢+$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1792¢98¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$2077¢69¢-$2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$133.1¢3.8¢+$3
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$309.7¢5.0¢-$15
Will Elon register any party before 2027?PoliticsNo$1595¢97¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?TechNo$1381¢80¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1143¢44¢+$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?FinanceYes$00.0¢11¢+$11
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$1085¢89¢+$0
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$953¢61¢+$1
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$1074¢77¢+$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1015¢15¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1332¢19¢-$5
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?PoliticsNo$583¢92¢+$1
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$627¢23¢-$1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1250¢20¢-$7
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$484¢93¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$475¢82¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$527¢18¢-$1
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$271¢68¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$21.1¢0.7¢-$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$187¢92¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$190¢92¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather+$357
World Cup-$246
Crypto+$123
eSports+$118
Finance+$107
NBA-$102
Politics-$95
Champions League-$82
Mentions+$72
Tech+$17
Economy+$14
Soccer (other)-$14
Biggest hit
+$188
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$206
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$202h ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$173h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$73h ago
  • Sold No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$123h ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$44h ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$25h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$305h ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$36h ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$08h ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$09h ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$09h ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by August 31?$209h ago